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icon for Élection parlementaire aux Îles Cook : Vainqueur Ngatangiia
Politique·Nouvelle-Zélande

Élection parlementaire aux Îles Cook : Vainqueur Ngatangiia

icon for Élection parlementaire aux Îles Cook : Vainqueur Ngatangiia
Politique·Nouvelle-Zélande

Élection parlementaire aux Îles Cook : Vainqueur Ngatangiia

Tukaka George Tamarua Ama 96.9%

Mapi Ioteva 2.1%

Itinga Maoate <1%

Christopher Robert Denny <1%

Polymarket

$33,759 Vol.

Tukaka George Tamarua Ama 96.9%

Mapi Ioteva 2.1%

Itinga Maoate <1%

Christopher Robert Denny <1%

Polymarket

$33,759 Vol.

Tukaka George Tamarua Ama

$28,723 Vol.

97%

Mapi Ioteva

$3,560 Vol.

2%

Itinga Maoate

$756 Vol.

<1%

Christopher Robert Denny

$721 Vol.

<1%

Parliamentary elections to elect the Parliament of the Cook Islands are scheduled to take place on August 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the constituency of Ngatangiia in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections. If the election results are not known definitively by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the specified election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Cook Islands government.Tukaka George Tamarua Ama of the Cook Islands Party holds a dominant position in the Ngatangiia constituency following the August 12, 2026 general election. Preliminary tallies show him ahead with 229 votes (43.8%) against Mapi Ioteva of the Cook Islands United Party at 216 votes (41.3%), consistent with the Cook Islands Party securing a plurality of seats overall. This margin, combined with the party's incumbency advantages and voter distribution in the electorate, underpins the market's assessment of a near-certain outcome. Official confirmation, potential recounts, or supplementary roll adjustments remain possible but appear unlikely to reverse the lead based on reported counts. Other listed candidates, including Itinga Maoate and Christopher Robert Denny, trail substantially and face structural barriers to closing the gap.

Parliamentary elections to elect the Parliament of the Cook Islands are scheduled to take place on August 12, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the constituency of Ngatangiia in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections.

If the election results are not known definitively by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the specified election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Cook Islands government.
Volume
$33,759
Date de fin
12 août 2026
Marché ouvert
Jul 16, 2026, 9:52 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect the Parliament of the Cook Islands are scheduled to take place on August 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the constituency of Ngatangiia in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections. If the election results are not known definitively by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the specified election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Cook Islands government.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Parliament of the Cook Islands are scheduled to take place on August 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the constituency of Ngatangiia in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections. If the election results are not known definitively by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the specified election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Cook Islands government.Tukaka George Tamarua Ama of the Cook Islands Party holds a dominant position in the Ngatangiia constituency following the August 12, 2026 general election. Preliminary tallies show him ahead with 229 votes (43.8%) against Mapi Ioteva of the Cook Islands United Party at 216 votes (41.3%), consistent with the Cook Islands Party securing a plurality of seats overall. This margin, combined with the party's incumbency advantages and voter distribution in the electorate, underpins the market's assessment of a near-certain outcome. Official confirmation, potential recounts, or supplementary roll adjustments remain possible but appear unlikely to reverse the lead based on reported counts. Other listed candidates, including Itinga Maoate and Christopher Robert Denny, trail substantially and face structural barriers to closing the gap.

Parliamentary elections to elect the Parliament of the Cook Islands are scheduled to take place on August 12, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the constituency of Ngatangiia in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections.

If the election results are not known definitively by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the specified election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Cook Islands government.
Volume
$33,759
Date de fin
12 août 2026
Marché ouvert
Jul 16, 2026, 9:52 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect the Parliament of the Cook Islands are scheduled to take place on August 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the constituency of Ngatangiia in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections. If the election results are not known definitively by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the specified election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Cook Islands government.

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Questions fréquentes

« Élection parlementaire aux Îles Cook : Vainqueur Ngatangiia » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 4 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Tukaka George Tamarua Ama » à 97%, suivi de « Mapi Ioteva » à 2%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 97¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 97% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Élection parlementaire aux Îles Cook : Vainqueur Ngatangiia » a généré $33.8K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Jul 16, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Élection parlementaire aux Îles Cook : Vainqueur Ngatangiia », parcourez les 4 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Élection parlementaire aux Îles Cook : Vainqueur Ngatangiia » est « Tukaka George Tamarua Ama » à 97%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 97% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Mapi Ioteva » à 2%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Élection parlementaire aux Îles Cook : Vainqueur Ngatangiia » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.