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icon for Élection kazakhe de Kurultai : vainqueur du parti
Politique·Kazakhstan

Élection kazakhe de Kurultai : vainqueur du parti

icon for Élection kazakhe de Kurultai : vainqueur du parti
Politique·Kazakhstan

Élection kazakhe de Kurultai : vainqueur du parti

Adilet 99.0%

QHP <1%

Baytaq <1%

Respublica <1%

Polymarket

$11,012 Vol.

Adilet 99.0%

QHP <1%

Baytaq <1%

Respublica <1%

Polymarket

$11,012 Vol.

icon for Adilet

Adilet

$3,558 Vol.

99%

icon for QHP

QHP

$995 Vol.

<1%

icon for Baytaq

Baytaq

$900 Vol.

<1%

icon for Respublica

Respublica

$717 Vol.

<1%

icon for Aq Jol

Aq Jol

$2,087 Vol.

<1%

icon for JSDP

JSDP

$1,923 Vol.

<1%

icon for Auyl

Auyl

$831 Vol.

<1%

Parliamentary elections to elect the Kurultai of Kazakhstan are scheduled to take place on August 23, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kurultai of Kazakhstan as a result of this election. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Kazakh government.Adilet has consolidated its position as the leading contender for the August 23, 2026, Kurultai elections through the June merger with Amanat, the former ruling party that secured a parliamentary majority in 2023. This reorganization under President Tokayev’s reform framework unites pro-presidential forces into a single big-tent party contesting the new 145-seat unicameral legislature, which replaced the prior bicameral system after the March 2026 constitutional referendum. The other six registered parties—A uyl, Aq Jol, Respublica, QHP, JSDP, and Baytaq—operate with limited organizational reach and polling support well below thresholds needed for significant seat shares. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages, though shifts in turnout, campaign developments, or registration outcomes could still affect final seat allocation before voting concludes.

Parliamentary elections to elect the Kurultai of Kazakhstan are scheduled to take place on August 23, 2026.

This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kurultai of Kazakhstan as a result of this election.

If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Kazakh government.
Volume
$11,012
Date de fin
23 août 2026
Marché ouvert
Jul 14, 2026, 8:24 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect the Kurultai of Kazakhstan are scheduled to take place on August 23, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kurultai of Kazakhstan as a result of this election. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Kazakh government.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Kurultai of Kazakhstan are scheduled to take place on August 23, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kurultai of Kazakhstan as a result of this election. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Kazakh government.Adilet has consolidated its position as the leading contender for the August 23, 2026, Kurultai elections through the June merger with Amanat, the former ruling party that secured a parliamentary majority in 2023. This reorganization under President Tokayev’s reform framework unites pro-presidential forces into a single big-tent party contesting the new 145-seat unicameral legislature, which replaced the prior bicameral system after the March 2026 constitutional referendum. The other six registered parties—A uyl, Aq Jol, Respublica, QHP, JSDP, and Baytaq—operate with limited organizational reach and polling support well below thresholds needed for significant seat shares. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages, though shifts in turnout, campaign developments, or registration outcomes could still affect final seat allocation before voting concludes.

Parliamentary elections to elect the Kurultai of Kazakhstan are scheduled to take place on August 23, 2026.

This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kurultai of Kazakhstan as a result of this election.

If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Kazakh government.
Volume
$11,012
Date de fin
23 août 2026
Marché ouvert
Jul 14, 2026, 8:24 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect the Kurultai of Kazakhstan are scheduled to take place on August 23, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kurultai of Kazakhstan as a result of this election. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Kazakh government.

Connexes

icon for Est-ce qu'Auyl remportera le deuxième plus grand nombre de sièges lors des élections du Kurultaï kazakh de 2026 ?

Est-ce qu'Auyl remportera le deuxième plus grand nombre de sièges lors des élections du Kurultaï kazakh de 2026 ?

73%
Oui
icon for Élections du Kurultai du Kazakhstan : Adilet remporte-t-il la majorité ?

Élections du Kurultai du Kazakhstan : Adilet remporte-t-il la majorité ?

97%
Oui
icon for Le Parti des Îles Cook remportera-t-il le plus de sièges lors des élections parlementaires de 2026 aux Îles Cook ?

Le Parti des Îles Cook remportera-t-il le plus de sièges lors des élections parlementaires de 2026 aux Îles Cook ?

99%
Oui

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Élection kazakhe de Kurultai : vainqueur du parti » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 7 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Adilet » à 99%, suivi de « QHP » à 0%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 99¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 99% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Élection kazakhe de Kurultai : vainqueur du parti » a généré $11K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Jul 14, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Élection kazakhe de Kurultai : vainqueur du parti », parcourez les 7 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Élection kazakhe de Kurultai : vainqueur du parti » est « Adilet » à 99%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 99% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « QHP » à 0%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Élection kazakhe de Kurultai : vainqueur du parti » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.