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icon for Élection au Parlement de Bangsamoro en 2026 : vainqueur du parti

Élection au Parlement de Bangsamoro en 2026 : vainqueur du parti

icon for Élection au Parlement de Bangsamoro en 2026 : vainqueur du parti

Élection au Parlement de Bangsamoro en 2026 : vainqueur du parti

BFP 56%

UBJP 43%

Élection reportée/annulée 1.1%

BEST PARTY <1%

Polymarket

$71,477 Vol.

BFP 56%

UBJP 43%

Élection reportée/annulée 1.1%

BEST PARTY <1%

Polymarket

$71,477 Vol.

BFP

$13,359 Vol.

56%

UBJP

$44,016 Vol.

43%

Élection reportée/annulée

$753 Vol.

1%

BEST PARTY

$681 Vol.

1%

BAPA

$711 Vol.

1%

C4P

$658 Vol.

1%

LBIAA

$800 Vol.

1%

ISLPI

$640 Vol.

1%

DTLO

$575 Vol.

1%

BGC

$711 Vol.

<1%

ROHOSUPA

$600 Vol.

<1%

PRO BANGSAMORO PARTY

$561 Vol.

<1%

MAHARDIKA

$580 Vol.

<1%

SREU

$581 Vol.

<1%

LES ROYAUX

$564 Vol.

<1%

ROHOSUMA

$1,009 Vol.

<1%

ABOT

$643 Vol.

<1%

ISAMA

$615 Vol.

<1%

MORO AKO

$615 Vol.

<1%

MUSHAWARA

$673 Vol.

<1%

PBB

$563 Vol.

<1%

RAAYAT DEMOCRATIC PARTY

$604 Vol.

<1%

TPWC

$505 Vol.

<1%

RSL

$460 Vol.

<1%

Parliamentary elections to elect the Bangsamoro Parliament are scheduled to take place on September 14, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the 2026 The Bangsamoro Autonomous Region of Muslim Mindanao (BARMM) Parliamentary Elections. If the specified election is officially canceled, rescheduled to a date after September 14, 2026, or voting does not take place by that date, 11:59 PM Philippine Standard Time, this market will resolve to "Election Postponed/Canceled." If voting takes place by September 14, 2026, but the results are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party-list votes. If the tie persists, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Philippine Commission on Elections (COMELEC) (https://www.comelec.gov.ph/).Recent defections from the United Bangsamoro Justice Party (UBJP) to the Bangsamoro Federalist Party (BFP) have narrowed the contest for the September 14, 2026, Bangsamoro Parliament election. Multiple local officials and members of parliament, including figures from Maguindanao del Sur, have switched affiliations in July 2026, prompting Comelec to designate UBJP as the dominant majority party and BFP as the dominant minority. This realignment, combined with BFP's success in securing unopposed district candidates, underpins trader consensus around a close outcome between the MILF-linked UBJP and the newer BFP coalition. Scheduled campaign activities and any further shifts in party lists or endorsements before election day remain the primary variables that could widen or reverse the current narrow gap.

Parliamentary elections to elect the Bangsamoro Parliament are scheduled to take place on September 14, 2026.

This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the 2026 The Bangsamoro Autonomous Region of Muslim Mindanao (BARMM) Parliamentary Elections.

If the specified election is officially canceled, rescheduled to a date after September 14, 2026, or voting does not take place by that date, 11:59 PM Philippine Standard Time, this market will resolve to "Election Postponed/Canceled." If voting takes place by September 14, 2026, but the results are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party-list votes. If the tie persists, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Philippine Commission on Elections (COMELEC) (https://www.comelec.gov.ph/).
Volume
$71,477
Date de fin
14 sept. 2026
Marché ouvert
Jul 16, 2026, 10:50 PM ET
Parliamentary elections to elect the Bangsamoro Parliament are scheduled to take place on September 14, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the 2026 The Bangsamoro Autonomous Region of Muslim Mindanao (BARMM) Parliamentary Elections. If the specified election is officially canceled, rescheduled to a date after September 14, 2026, or voting does not take place by that date, 11:59 PM Philippine Standard Time, this market will resolve to "Election Postponed/Canceled." If voting takes place by September 14, 2026, but the results are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party-list votes. If the tie persists, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Philippine Commission on Elections (COMELEC) (https://www.comelec.gov.ph/).
Parliamentary elections to elect the Bangsamoro Parliament are scheduled to take place on September 14, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the 2026 The Bangsamoro Autonomous Region of Muslim Mindanao (BARMM) Parliamentary Elections. If the specified election is officially canceled, rescheduled to a date after September 14, 2026, or voting does not take place by that date, 11:59 PM Philippine Standard Time, this market will resolve to "Election Postponed/Canceled." If voting takes place by September 14, 2026, but the results are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party-list votes. If the tie persists, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Philippine Commission on Elections (COMELEC) (https://www.comelec.gov.ph/).Recent defections from the United Bangsamoro Justice Party (UBJP) to the Bangsamoro Federalist Party (BFP) have narrowed the contest for the September 14, 2026, Bangsamoro Parliament election. Multiple local officials and members of parliament, including figures from Maguindanao del Sur, have switched affiliations in July 2026, prompting Comelec to designate UBJP as the dominant majority party and BFP as the dominant minority. This realignment, combined with BFP's success in securing unopposed district candidates, underpins trader consensus around a close outcome between the MILF-linked UBJP and the newer BFP coalition. Scheduled campaign activities and any further shifts in party lists or endorsements before election day remain the primary variables that could widen or reverse the current narrow gap.

Parliamentary elections to elect the Bangsamoro Parliament are scheduled to take place on September 14, 2026.

This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the 2026 The Bangsamoro Autonomous Region of Muslim Mindanao (BARMM) Parliamentary Elections.

If the specified election is officially canceled, rescheduled to a date after September 14, 2026, or voting does not take place by that date, 11:59 PM Philippine Standard Time, this market will resolve to "Election Postponed/Canceled." If voting takes place by September 14, 2026, but the results are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party-list votes. If the tie persists, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Philippine Commission on Elections (COMELEC) (https://www.comelec.gov.ph/).
Volume
$71,477
Date de fin
14 sept. 2026
Marché ouvert
Jul 16, 2026, 10:50 PM ET
Parliamentary elections to elect the Bangsamoro Parliament are scheduled to take place on September 14, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the 2026 The Bangsamoro Autonomous Region of Muslim Mindanao (BARMM) Parliamentary Elections. If the specified election is officially canceled, rescheduled to a date after September 14, 2026, or voting does not take place by that date, 11:59 PM Philippine Standard Time, this market will resolve to "Election Postponed/Canceled." If voting takes place by September 14, 2026, but the results are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party-list votes. If the tie persists, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Philippine Commission on Elections (COMELEC) (https://www.comelec.gov.ph/).

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Questions fréquentes

« Élection au Parlement de Bangsamoro en 2026 : vainqueur du parti » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 24 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « BFP » à 56%, suivi de « UBJP » à 43%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 56¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 56% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Élection au Parlement de Bangsamoro en 2026 : vainqueur du parti » a généré $71.5K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Jul 16, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Élection au Parlement de Bangsamoro en 2026 : vainqueur du parti », parcourez les 24 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Élection au Parlement de Bangsamoro en 2026 : vainqueur du parti » est « BFP » à 56%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 56% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « UBJP » à 43%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Élection au Parlement de Bangsamoro en 2026 : vainqueur du parti » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.