California's 44th congressional district, centered in South Los Angeles and encompassing a majority-Hispanic urban population, maintains a strong Democratic lean reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent election results. Incumbent Representative Nanette Barragán faces limited opposition in the June 2026 primary and general election, with Republican fundraising and visibility remaining minimal. Historical turnout patterns and voter registration advantages reinforce trader expectations of continued Democratic control. Scenarios that could shift outcomes include an unexpected national political realignment, a significant personal or campaign scandal affecting the incumbent, or unusually high Republican mobilization in the final months before the November 3, 2026, general election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourCA-44 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
CA-44 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$21,535 Vol.
$21,535 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
93%
Parti républicain
6%
$21,535 Vol.
$21,535 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
$13,354 Vol.
93%
Parti républicain
$8,181 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-44 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 44th congressional district, centered in South Los Angeles and encompassing a majority-Hispanic urban population, maintains a strong Democratic lean reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent election results. Incumbent Representative Nanette Barragán faces limited opposition in the June 2026 primary and general election, with Republican fundraising and visibility remaining minimal. Historical turnout patterns and voter registration advantages reinforce trader expectations of continued Democratic control. Scenarios that could shift outcomes include an unexpected national political realignment, a significant personal or campaign scandal affecting the incumbent, or unusually high Republican mobilization in the final months before the November 3, 2026, general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-44 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ET
Volume
$21,535Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-44 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 44th congressional district, centered in South Los Angeles and encompassing a majority-Hispanic urban population, maintains a strong Democratic lean reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent election results. Incumbent Representative Nanette Barragán faces limited opposition in the June 2026 primary and general election, with Republican fundraising and visibility remaining minimal. Historical turnout patterns and voter registration advantages reinforce trader expectations of continued Democratic control. Scenarios that could shift outcomes include an unexpected national political realignment, a significant personal or campaign scandal affecting the incumbent, or unusually high Republican mobilization in the final months before the November 3, 2026, general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-44 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$21,535Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California's 44th congressional district, centered in South Los Angeles and encompassing a majority-Hispanic urban population, maintains a strong Democratic lean reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent election results. Incumbent Representative Nanette Barragán faces limited opposition in the June 2026 primary and general election, with Republican fundraising and visibility remaining minimal. Historical turnout patterns and voter registration advantages reinforce trader expectations of continued Democratic control. Scenarios that could shift outcomes include an unexpected national political realignment, a significant personal or campaign scandal affecting the incumbent, or unusually high Republican mobilization in the final months before the November 3, 2026, general election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes