Polymarket traders price a modest implied probability for silver (SI) futures hitting the $32 strike by March 31, reflecting cooling industrial demand amid China's sluggish economic recovery and a strengthening U.S. dollar index above 104. Spot silver hovers near $30.20, down 2% weekly on hawkish Fed rhetoric delaying rate cuts, with COMEX inventories steady at 300 million ounces. Key catalysts include February CPI release on March 12 and FOMC meeting March 18-19, where persistent inflation above 2.5% could cap upside; trader consensus eyes support at $29 amid ETF outflows exceeding $100 million YTD, though geopolitical tensions may spur safe-haven flows.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated$1,103,115 Vol.
↑ $200
<1%
↑ $170
<1%
↑ $150
<1%
↑ $140
1%
↑ $130
1%
↑ $125
1%
↑ $120
1%
↑ $115
2%
↑ $110
1%
↑ $105
2%
↑ $100
3%
↑ $95
7%
↓ $70
100%
↓ $65
55%
↓ $60
21%
↓ $50
4%
↓ $40
1%
↓ $25
<1%
$1,103,115 Vol.
↑ $200
<1%
↑ $170
<1%
↑ $150
<1%
↑ $140
1%
↑ $130
1%
↑ $125
1%
↑ $120
1%
↑ $115
2%
↑ $110
1%
↑ $105
2%
↑ $100
3%
↑ $95
7%
↓ $70
100%
↓ $65
55%
↓ $60
21%
↓ $50
4%
↓ $40
1%
↓ $25
<1%
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
Market Opened: Mar 2, 2026, 6:17 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Polymarket traders price a modest implied probability for silver (SI) futures hitting the $32 strike by March 31, reflecting cooling industrial demand amid China's sluggish economic recovery and a strengthening U.S. dollar index above 104. Spot silver hovers near $30.20, down 2% weekly on hawkish Fed rhetoric delaying rate cuts, with COMEX inventories steady at 300 million ounces. Key catalysts include February CPI release on March 12 and FOMC meeting March 18-19, where persistent inflation above 2.5% could cap upside; trader consensus eyes support at $29 amid ETF outflows exceeding $100 million YTD, though geopolitical tensions may spur safe-haven flows.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated



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