Market icon

Will RFK remove raw milk ban?

Market icon

Will RFK remove raw milk ban?

<1% chance
Polymarket

$47,571 Vol.

<1% chance
Polymarket

$47,571 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Trump administration takes any action explicitly eliminating or reducing federal restrictions on the sale or distribution of raw (unpasteurized) milk by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

Actions that would qualify for a "Yes" resolution include, but are not limited to:
- Repealing or modifying 21 CFR § 1240.61, the FDA’s interstate raw milk sales ban.
- Issuing an executive order or agency directive to stop enforcing the interstate raw milk ban.
- Any federal action that blocks, repeals, or significantly weakens the Pasteurized Milk Ordinance (PMO) as it relates to raw milk.

Any action meeting these criteria will count, regardless of if/when their implementation goes into effect.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$47,571
End Date
Jun 30, 2025
Created At
Feb 21, 2025, 6:46 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Trump administration takes any action explicitly eliminating or reducing federal restrictions on the sale or distribution of raw (unpasteurized) milk by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” Actions that would qualify for a "Yes" resolution include, but are not limited to: - Repealing or modifying 21 CFR § 1240.61, the FDA’s interstate raw milk sales ban. - Issuing an executive order or agency directive to stop enforcing the interstate raw milk ban. - Any federal action that blocks, repeals, or significantly weakens the Pasteurized Milk Ordinance (PMO) as it relates to raw milk. Any action meeting these criteria will count, regardless of if/when their implementation goes into effect. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Trump administration takes any action explicitly eliminating or reducing federal restrictions on the sale or distribution of raw (unpasteurized) milk by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

Actions that would qualify for a "Yes" resolution include, but are not limited to:
- Repealing or modifying 21 CFR § 1240.61, the FDA’s interstate raw milk sales ban.
- Issuing an executive order or agency directive to stop enforcing the interstate raw milk ban.
- Any federal action that blocks, repeals, or significantly weakens the Pasteurized Milk Ordinance (PMO) as it relates to raw milk.

Any action meeting these criteria will count, regardless of if/when their implementation goes into effect.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$47,571
End Date
Jun 30, 2025
Created At
Feb 21, 2025, 6:46 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Trump administration takes any action explicitly eliminating or reducing federal restrictions on the sale or distribution of raw (unpasteurized) milk by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” Actions that would qualify for a "Yes" resolution include, but are not limited to: - Repealing or modifying 21 CFR § 1240.61, the FDA’s interstate raw milk sales ban. - Issuing an executive order or agency directive to stop enforcing the interstate raw milk ban. - Any federal action that blocks, repeals, or significantly weakens the Pasteurized Milk Ordinance (PMO) as it relates to raw milk. Any action meeting these criteria will count, regardless of if/when their implementation goes into effect. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Will RFK remove raw milk ban?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Will RFK remove raw milk ban?" has generated $47.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 21, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Will RFK remove raw milk ban?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will RFK remove raw milk ban?" is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will RFK remove raw milk ban?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.