Market icon

Will Brazil unban X before October?

Market icon

Will Brazil unban X before October?

10% chance
Polymarket

$522,045 Vol.

10% chance
Polymarket

$522,045 Vol.

On August 30, 2024, Brazilian supreme court judge Alexandre de Moraes ordered that X/Twitter be suspended within Brazil effective immediately.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if this suspension is ordered to be lifted in full by September 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An order made before the resolution date that the suspension be lifted will suffice to resolve this market to “Yes”, regardless of when the order goes into effect.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Brazilian government and X/Twitter, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$522,045
End Date
Sep 30, 2024
Market Opened
Aug 30, 2024, 4:53 PM ET
On August 30, 2024, Brazilian supreme court judge Alexandre de Moraes ordered that X/Twitter be suspended within Brazil effective immediately. This market will resolve to "Yes" if this suspension is ordered to be lifted in full by September 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An order made before the resolution date that the suspension be lifted will suffice to resolve this market to “Yes”, regardless of when the order goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Brazilian government and X/Twitter, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

On August 30, 2024, Brazilian supreme court judge Alexandre de Moraes ordered that X/Twitter be suspended within Brazil effective immediately.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if this suspension is ordered to be lifted in full by September 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An order made before the resolution date that the suspension be lifted will suffice to resolve this market to “Yes”, regardless of when the order goes into effect.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Brazilian government and X/Twitter, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$522,045
End Date
Sep 30, 2024
Market Opened
Aug 30, 2024, 4:53 PM ET
On August 30, 2024, Brazilian supreme court judge Alexandre de Moraes ordered that X/Twitter be suspended within Brazil effective immediately. This market will resolve to "Yes" if this suspension is ordered to be lifted in full by September 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An order made before the resolution date that the suspension be lifted will suffice to resolve this market to “Yes”, regardless of when the order goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Brazilian government and X/Twitter, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Will Brazil unban X before October?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Will Brazil unban X before October?" has generated $522K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 30, 2024. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Will Brazil unban X before October?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will Brazil unban X before October?" is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will Brazil unban X before October?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.