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Which candidates will advance to Brazil's presidential runoff?

$125,105 Vol.

Oct 4, 2026

Rules

General elections are scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. If no candidate wins outright in the first round, the top two candidates proceed to a runoff.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to Brazil's presidential runoff election or otherwise wins outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the president is decided in the first round of the election or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volume
$125,105
End Date
Oct 4, 2026
Created At
Sep 18, 2025, 1:53 PM ET
General elections are scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. If no candidate wins outright in the first round, the top two candidates proceed to a runoff. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to Brazil's presidential runoff election or otherwise wins outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the president is decided in the first round of the election or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).

Beware of external links.

Market icon

Which candidates will advance to Brazil's presidential runoff?

$125,105 Vol.

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

$61,459 Vol.

81%

Flavio Bolsonaro

$11,016 Vol.

68%

Tarcisio de Frietas

$26,730 Vol.

13%

Michelle Bolsonaro

$4,567 Vol.

7%

Fernando Haddad

$13,148 Vol.

5%

Jair Bolsonaro

$8,185 Vol.

4%

About

Volume
$125,105
End Date
Oct 4, 2026
Created At
Sep 18, 2025, 1:53 PM ET

Beware of external links.