Shaboozey's "A Bar Song (Tipsy)" continues its record-shattering dominance atop the Billboard Hot 100, securing its 17th nonconsecutive week at #1 as of the latest chart, the longest run of 2024 and a country crossover phenomenon fueled by massive streaming and radio airplay. This blockade has limited new #1 breakthroughs since Billie Eilish's "BIRDS OF A FEATHER" in July, following earlier debuts by Teddy Swims ("Lose Control"), Sabrina Carpenter ("Espresso," "Please Please Please"), and Post Malone ("Pour Me A Drink"). Lady Gaga and Bruno Mars' "Die With A Smile" surges toward contention at #4, while upcoming drops from artists like Kendrick Lamar or Taylor Swift could disrupt the logjam before year-end chart freezes. Traders eye weekly updates and holiday streaming spikes as pivotal for late-year upsets.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedWhich artists will have a Billboard #1 song this year?
Which artists will have a Billboard #1 song this year?
$91,722 Vol.
Mariah Carey
90%
Drake
78%
Olivia Rodrigo
88%
Ariana Grande
61%
Playboi Carti
48%
SZA
45%
Sabrina Carpenter
42%
Post Malone
40%
Luke Combs
38%
Billie Eilish
36%
Tyler, The Creator
28%
Future
30%
Kanye West
33%
Rihanna
21%
The Weeknd
19%
Zach Bryan
15%
Travis Scott
26%
A$AP Rocky
21%
Ed Sheeran
8%
Doja Cat
11%
Jack Harlow
22%
Lil Baby
10%
Kendrick Lamar
14%
Frank Ocean
22%
Morgan Wallen
53%
Peso Pluma
48%
$91,722 Vol.
Mariah Carey
90%
Drake
78%
Olivia Rodrigo
88%
Ariana Grande
61%
Playboi Carti
48%
SZA
45%
Sabrina Carpenter
42%
Post Malone
40%
Luke Combs
38%
Billie Eilish
36%
Tyler, The Creator
28%
Future
30%
Kanye West
33%
Rihanna
21%
The Weeknd
19%
Zach Bryan
15%
Travis Scott
26%
A$AP Rocky
21%
Ed Sheeran
8%
Doja Cat
11%
Jack Harlow
22%
Lil Baby
10%
Kendrick Lamar
14%
Frank Ocean
22%
Morgan Wallen
53%
Peso Pluma
48%
Any song released with the listed artist as a primary artist will count, including songs released before 2026. If a song is released jointly by multiple artists credited equally as primary artists, it will count for all of them. Features, writing credits, production credits, or other forms of non-primary contributions to a song will not count. Artist attribution will be determined solely by the artists displayed by Billboard on the relevant chart.
Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data collected in the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”. The first Billboard Hot 100 song chart relevant to this market will be the chart titled “Week of January 17, 2026” for a data collection reference period of January 2-8, 2026. The final Billboard Hot 100 song chart relevant to this market will be the Chart titled “Week of January 9, 2027” for a data collection reference period of December 25-31, 2026.
Updates or revisions made within this market’s timeframe to the #1-ranked song on previously published Billboard Hot 100 charts will be considered; however, such updates will not disqualify a previously published Billboard Hot 100 #1 song from counting. If a Billboard Hot 100 #1 song is revised after initial publication, both the originally published #1 song and the revised #1 song will count for this market. Updates or revisions made after the release of the final Billboard Hot 100 song chart relevant to this market will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be the weekly Billboard Hot 100 songs charts published each week at https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/ and through other official Billboard channels.
Market Opened: Jan 9, 2026, 4:29 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Shaboozey's "A Bar Song (Tipsy)" continues its record-shattering dominance atop the Billboard Hot 100, securing its 17th nonconsecutive week at #1 as of the latest chart, the longest run of 2024 and a country crossover phenomenon fueled by massive streaming and radio airplay. This blockade has limited new #1 breakthroughs since Billie Eilish's "BIRDS OF A FEATHER" in July, following earlier debuts by Teddy Swims ("Lose Control"), Sabrina Carpenter ("Espresso," "Please Please Please"), and Post Malone ("Pour Me A Drink"). Lady Gaga and Bruno Mars' "Die With A Smile" surges toward contention at #4, while upcoming drops from artists like Kendrick Lamar or Taylor Swift could disrupt the logjam before year-end chart freezes. Traders eye weekly updates and holiday streaming spikes as pivotal for late-year upsets.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated



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