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What will be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?

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What will be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?

Ended: Apr 14

Apr 21

Ended: Apr 14

Apr 21

The Truth & Tragedy of Moriah Wilson 100.0%

Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle <1%

Beast <1%

Anaconda <1%

Polymarket

$20,096 Vol.

The Truth & Tragedy of Moriah Wilson 100.0%

Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle <1%

Beast <1%

Anaconda <1%

Polymarket

$20,096 Vol.

Will "Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week? icon

Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle

$701 Vol.

No

Will "Beast" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week? icon

Beast

$724 Vol.

No

Will "The Truth & Tragedy of Moriah Wilson" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week? icon

The Truth & Tragedy of Moriah Wilson

$12,165 Vol.

Yes

Will "Anaconda" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week? icon

Anaconda

$3,982 Vol.

No

Will "Madagascar" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week? icon

Madagascar

$230 Vol.

No

Will "Untold: The Death & Life of Lamar Odom" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week? icon

Untold: The Death & Life of Lamar Odom

$140 Vol.

No

Will "Black and Blue" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week? icon

Black and Blue

$105 Vol.

No

Will "IF" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week? icon

IF

$194 Vol.

No

Will "Thrash" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week? icon

Thrash

$1,855 Vol.

No

Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 TV movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, April 14, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 global Netflix movie. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for Global Top 10 Movies (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by April 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors The Truth & Tragedy of Moriah Wilson as the #2 global Netflix movie this week at 99.7% implied probability, driven by its sustained streaming dominance in the wake of an early April release. The true crime documentary, chronicling cyclist Moriah Wilson's shocking murder, has racked up robust weekly views—holding #3 last week before climbing amid strong word-of-mouth and genre appeal—while new action hit Thrash surges to #1 with massive debut hours. Precursor daily charts and flixpatrol metrics reinforce this positioning, underscoring true crime's reliable holdover performance. Realistic upsets would require viral resurgences from catalog staples like Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle, Anaconda, or Untold: The Death & Life of Lamar Odom, or unexpected data shifts before Tuesday's chart lock, though current trajectories deem these highly unlikely.

Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 TV movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, April 14, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 global Netflix movie.

The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for Global Top 10 Movies (English only).

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by April 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$20,096
End Date
Apr 14, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 9, 2026, 4:40 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 TV movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, April 14, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 global Netflix movie. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for Global Top 10 Movies (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by April 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 TV movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, April 14, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 global Netflix movie. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for Global Top 10 Movies (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by April 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors The Truth & Tragedy of Moriah Wilson as the #2 global Netflix movie this week at 99.7% implied probability, driven by its sustained streaming dominance in the wake of an early April release. The true crime documentary, chronicling cyclist Moriah Wilson's shocking murder, has racked up robust weekly views—holding #3 last week before climbing amid strong word-of-mouth and genre appeal—while new action hit Thrash surges to #1 with massive debut hours. Precursor daily charts and flixpatrol metrics reinforce this positioning, underscoring true crime's reliable holdover performance. Realistic upsets would require viral resurgences from catalog staples like Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle, Anaconda, or Untold: The Death & Life of Lamar Odom, or unexpected data shifts before Tuesday's chart lock, though current trajectories deem these highly unlikely.

Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 TV movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, April 14, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 global Netflix movie.

The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for Global Top 10 Movies (English only).

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by April 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$20,096
End Date
Apr 14, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 9, 2026, 4:40 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 TV movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, April 14, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 global Netflix movie. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for Global Top 10 Movies (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by April 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

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Frequently Asked Questions

"What will be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "The Truth & Tragedy of Moriah Wilson" at 100%, followed by "Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "What will be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?" has generated $20.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 9, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "What will be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What will be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?" is "The Truth & Tragedy of Moriah Wilson" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What will be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.