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What will be the top global Netflix movie this week?

icon for What will be the top global Netflix movie this week?

What will be the top global Netflix movie this week?

Thrash 100.0%

A Quiet Place Part II <1%

Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle <1%

The Truth & Tragedy of Moriah Wilson <1%

Polymarket

$10,187 Vol.

Thrash 100.0%

A Quiet Place Part II <1%

Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle <1%

The Truth & Tragedy of Moriah Wilson <1%

Polymarket

$10,187 Vol.

icon for A Quiet Place Part II

A Quiet Place Part II

$1,174 Vol.

No

icon for Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle

Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle

$412 Vol.

No

icon for The Truth & Tragedy of Moriah Wilson

The Truth & Tragedy of Moriah Wilson

$255 Vol.

No

icon for Untold: Jail Blazers

Untold: Jail Blazers

$368 Vol.

No

icon for Thrash

Thrash

$6,744 Vol.

Yes

icon for Beast

Beast

$283 Vol.

No

icon for Anaconda

Anaconda

$275 Vol.

No

icon for Untold: The Death & Life of Lamar Odom

Untold: The Death & Life of Lamar Odom

$331 Vol.

No

icon for Black and Blue

Black and Blue

$346 Vol.

No

Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 TV movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, April 21, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 global Netflix movie. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for Global Top 10 Movies (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by April 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".Thrash commands overwhelming trader consensus at 100% implied probability as Netflix's global top movie this week, propelled by its explosive April 10 premiere that racked up 37.7 million views in three days and sustained dominance with 34.5 million views through the latest Top 10 period—dwarfing #2's 9.5 million. This shark-infested hurricane disaster thriller, starring Phoebe Dynevor and Djimon Hounsou, taps into proven B-movie appeal despite mixed critical reception, driving massive streaming hours amid light competition from holdovers like 180 and Roommates. An upset would require an unprecedented surge from a late-week release or viral documentary like Untold: The Death & Life of Lamar Odom, but current metrics signal continued frontrunner status ahead of Netflix's next weekly update.

Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 TV movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, April 21, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 global Netflix movie.

The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for Global Top 10 Movies (English only).

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by April 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$10,187
End Date
Apr 21, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 14, 2026, 6:19 PM ET
Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 TV movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, April 21, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 global Netflix movie. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for Global Top 10 Movies (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by April 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 TV movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, April 21, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 global Netflix movie. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for Global Top 10 Movies (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by April 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".Thrash commands overwhelming trader consensus at 100% implied probability as Netflix's global top movie this week, propelled by its explosive April 10 premiere that racked up 37.7 million views in three days and sustained dominance with 34.5 million views through the latest Top 10 period—dwarfing #2's 9.5 million. This shark-infested hurricane disaster thriller, starring Phoebe Dynevor and Djimon Hounsou, taps into proven B-movie appeal despite mixed critical reception, driving massive streaming hours amid light competition from holdovers like 180 and Roommates. An upset would require an unprecedented surge from a late-week release or viral documentary like Untold: The Death & Life of Lamar Odom, but current metrics signal continued frontrunner status ahead of Netflix's next weekly update.

Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 TV movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, April 21, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 global Netflix movie.

The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for Global Top 10 Movies (English only).

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by April 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$10,187
End Date
Apr 21, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 14, 2026, 6:19 PM ET
Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 TV movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, April 21, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 global Netflix movie. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for Global Top 10 Movies (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by April 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"What will be the top global Netflix movie this week?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Thrash" at 100%, followed by "A Quiet Place Part II" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "What will be the top global Netflix movie this week?" has generated $10.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 14, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "What will be the top global Netflix movie this week?," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What will be the top global Netflix movie this week?" is "Thrash" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "A Quiet Place Part II" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What will be the top global Netflix movie this week?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.