Thrash's commanding 34.5 million views on Netflix's US Top 10 Movies chart for the week of April 13-19—its second straight at #1—cements trader consensus at 100% implied probability, dwarfing #2's 9.5 million. The April 10 shark thriller, starring Bridgerton breakout Phoebe Dynevor alongside Djimon Hounsou and Whitney Peak, exploded with genre appeal amid hurricane disaster tropes, racking up over 70 million cumulative views and topping charts in 90 territories. Holdovers like Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle lag far behind in streaming metrics. While daily fluctuations occur, an upset would require an improbable final-days surge from Roommates or Anaconda to close the multi-million-view gap before next week's chart lock.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWhat will be the top US Netflix movie this week?
What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?
Thrash 100.0%
Anaconda <1%
A Quiet Place Part II <1%
Beast <1%
$50,707 Vol.
$50,707 Vol.

Anaconda
No

A Quiet Place Part II
No

Beast
No

The Truth & Tragedy of Moriah Wilson
No

Untold: The Death & Life of Lamar Odom
No

Black and Blue
No

Untold: Jail Blazers
No

Thrash
Yes

Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle
No
Thrash 100.0%
Anaconda <1%
A Quiet Place Part II <1%
Beast <1%
$50,707 Vol.
$50,707 Vol.

Anaconda
No

A Quiet Place Part II
No

Beast
No

The Truth & Tragedy of Moriah Wilson
No

Untold: The Death & Life of Lamar Odom
No

Black and Blue
No

Untold: Jail Blazers
No

Thrash
Yes

Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle
No
This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 Netflix movie in the United States.
The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for movies.
If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by April 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Market Opened: Apr 14, 2026, 6:18 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 Netflix movie in the United States.
The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for movies.
If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by April 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Thrash's commanding 34.5 million views on Netflix's US Top 10 Movies chart for the week of April 13-19—its second straight at #1—cements trader consensus at 100% implied probability, dwarfing #2's 9.5 million. The April 10 shark thriller, starring Bridgerton breakout Phoebe Dynevor alongside Djimon Hounsou and Whitney Peak, exploded with genre appeal amid hurricane disaster tropes, racking up over 70 million cumulative views and topping charts in 90 territories. Holdovers like Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle lag far behind in streaming metrics. While daily fluctuations occur, an upset would require an improbable final-days surge from Roommates or Anaconda to close the multi-million-view gap before next week's chart lock.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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