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What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?

icon for What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?

What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?

Thrash 100.0%

Anaconda <1%

A Quiet Place Part II <1%

Beast <1%

Polymarket

$50,707 Vol.

Thrash 100.0%

Anaconda <1%

A Quiet Place Part II <1%

Beast <1%

Polymarket

$50,707 Vol.

icon for Anaconda

Anaconda

$471 Vol.

No

icon for A Quiet Place Part II

A Quiet Place Part II

$670 Vol.

No

icon for Beast

Beast

$572 Vol.

No

icon for The Truth & Tragedy of Moriah Wilson

The Truth & Tragedy of Moriah Wilson

$798 Vol.

No

icon for Untold: The Death & Life of Lamar Odom

Untold: The Death & Life of Lamar Odom

$455 Vol.

No

icon for Black and Blue

Black and Blue

$666 Vol.

No

icon for Untold: Jail Blazers

Untold: Jail Blazers

$1,471 Vol.

No

icon for Thrash

Thrash

$44,314 Vol.

Yes

icon for Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle

Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle

$1,290 Vol.

No

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 Movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, April 21, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 Netflix movie in the United States. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by April 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".Thrash's commanding 34.5 million views on Netflix's US Top 10 Movies chart for the week of April 13-19—its second straight at #1—cements trader consensus at 100% implied probability, dwarfing #2's 9.5 million. The April 10 shark thriller, starring Bridgerton breakout Phoebe Dynevor alongside Djimon Hounsou and Whitney Peak, exploded with genre appeal amid hurricane disaster tropes, racking up over 70 million cumulative views and topping charts in 90 territories. Holdovers like Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle lag far behind in streaming metrics. While daily fluctuations occur, an upset would require an improbable final-days surge from Roommates or Anaconda to close the multi-million-view gap before next week's chart lock.

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 Movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, April 21, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 Netflix movie in the United States.

The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for movies.

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by April 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$50,707
End Date
Apr 21, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 14, 2026, 6:18 PM ET
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 Movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, April 21, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 Netflix movie in the United States. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by April 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 Movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, April 21, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 Netflix movie in the United States. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by April 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".Thrash's commanding 34.5 million views on Netflix's US Top 10 Movies chart for the week of April 13-19—its second straight at #1—cements trader consensus at 100% implied probability, dwarfing #2's 9.5 million. The April 10 shark thriller, starring Bridgerton breakout Phoebe Dynevor alongside Djimon Hounsou and Whitney Peak, exploded with genre appeal amid hurricane disaster tropes, racking up over 70 million cumulative views and topping charts in 90 territories. Holdovers like Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle lag far behind in streaming metrics. While daily fluctuations occur, an upset would require an improbable final-days surge from Roommates or Anaconda to close the multi-million-view gap before next week's chart lock.

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 Movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, April 21, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 Netflix movie in the United States.

The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for movies.

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by April 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$50,707
End Date
Apr 21, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 14, 2026, 6:18 PM ET
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 Movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, April 21, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 Netflix movie in the United States. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by April 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Thrash" at 100%, followed by "Anaconda" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?" has generated $50.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 14, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?" is "Thrash" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Anaconda" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.