Recent polling averages place the Partido Popular (PP) roughly seven to eight points ahead of the PSOE, positioning it as the frontrunner to secure the largest share of seats in the November 29 snap election. The early vote, called after parliamentary rejection of two housing decrees, has elevated affordability and migration as central campaign issues, with opposition parties highlighting government vulnerabilities. PP-Vox combinations project comfortable majorities in most simulations, while the PSOE-led bloc trails significantly. These patterns, stable across multiple pollsters since late summer, underpin the pronounced market preference for PP as the likely plurality winner, though coalition negotiations and turnout dynamics remain variables that could influence final seat allocations.