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Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2025

$21,461,938 Vol.

María Corina Machado 100.0%

Donald Trump <1%

Pope Leo XIV <1%

Yulia Navalnaya <1%

OUTCOME

% CHANCE

RESULT

Rules

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2025 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.

If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelensky, Elon Musk, Pope Leo XIII, or Yulia Navalnaya are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them, in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners, and the prize is awarded jointly to a listed individual and a listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners, and all recipients are of the same type (e.g. all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.

If no official announcement regarding the 2025 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
Volume
$21,461,938
End Date
Oct 10, 2025
Created At
Jul 8, 2025, 3:36 PM

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

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Beware of external links.

$21,461,938 Vol.

Market icon

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2025

María Corina Machado 100.0%

Donald Trump <1%

Pope Leo XIV <1%

Yulia Navalnaya <1%

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Donald Trump

$13,949,920 Vol.

No

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Pope Leo XIV

$291,688 Vol.

No

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Yulia Navalnaya

$570,196 Vol.

No

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European Union

$156,391 Vol.

No

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Julian Assange

$168,263 Vol.

No

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Ursula von der Leyen

$143,963 Vol.

No

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Greta Thunberg

$454,362 Vol.

No

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Marco Rubio

$182,068 Vol.

No

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Keir Starmer

$334,461 Vol.

No

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Doctors Without Borders (Médecins Sans Frontières)

$172,965 Vol.

No

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Elon Musk

$533,744 Vol.

No

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UNRWA

$104,020 Vol.

No

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International Court of Justice

$126,195 Vol.

No

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António Guterres

$208,662 Vol.

No

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Zuriel Oduwole

$287,001 Vol.

No

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Alexei Gorinov

$222,388 Vol.

No

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María Corina Machado

$2,243,006 Vol.

Yes

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Chow Hang‑tung

$199,762 Vol.

No

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Volodymyr Zelensky

$553,279 Vol.

No

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Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms

$522,012 Vol.

No

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Mediterranean Sea Rescue organizations

$37,591 Vol.

No

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About

Volume
$21,461,938
End Date
Oct 10, 2025
Created At
Jul 8, 2025, 3:36 PM