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Finance·Indicies

Will Nasdaq 100 (NDX) finish week of March 16 above___?

Market icon
Finance·Indicies

Will Nasdaq 100 (NDX) finish week of March 16 above___?

Ended: Mar 20

Ended: Mar 20

$15,043 Vol.

Mar 20, 2026
Polymarket

$15,043 Vol.

Polymarket

19,750

$3,406 Vol.

Yes

20,000

$6,318 Vol.

Yes

20,250

$1,320 Vol.

Yes

20,500

$1,113 Vol.

Yes

20,750

$1,368 Vol.

Yes

21,000

$567 Vol.

Yes

21,250

$950 Vol.

Yes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Nasdaq 100 (NDX) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday) is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Nasdaq 100 (NDX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/history, published under "Historical Prices." Note: Nasdaq 100 (NDX) is represented by ^NDX on Yahoo Finance.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Nasdaq 100 (NDX) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday) is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Nasdaq 100 (NDX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/history, published under "Historical Prices." Note: Nasdaq 100 (NDX) is represented by ^NDX on Yahoo Finance.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Nasdaq 100 (NDX) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday) is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Nasdaq 100 (NDX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/history, published under "Historical Prices." Note: Nasdaq 100 (NDX) is represented by ^NDX on Yahoo Finance.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Nasdaq 100 (NDX) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday) is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Nasdaq 100 (NDX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/history, published under "Historical Prices." Note: Nasdaq 100 (NDX) is represented by ^NDX on Yahoo Finance.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Nasdaq 100 (NDX) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday) is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Nasdaq 100 (NDX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/history, published under "Historical Prices." Note: Nasdaq 100 (NDX) is represented by ^NDX on Yahoo Finance.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Nasdaq 100 (NDX) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday) is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Nasdaq 100 (NDX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/history, published under "Historical Prices." Note: Nasdaq 100 (NDX) is represented by ^NDX on Yahoo Finance.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Nasdaq 100 (NDX) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday) is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Nasdaq 100 (NDX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/history, published under "Historical Prices." Note: Nasdaq 100 (NDX) is represented by ^NDX on Yahoo Finance.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Nasdaq 100 (NDX) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday) is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.

If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.

The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Nasdaq 100 (NDX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/history, published under "Historical Prices."

Note: Nasdaq 100 (NDX) is represented by ^NDX on Yahoo Finance.
Volume
$15,043
End Date
Mar 20, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 9, 2026, 4:46 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/history

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Nasdaq 100 (NDX) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday) is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Nasdaq 100 (NDX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/history, published under "Historical Prices." Note: Nasdaq 100 (NDX) is represented by ^NDX on Yahoo Finance.

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Nasdaq 100 (NDX) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday) is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Nasdaq 100 (NDX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/history, published under "Historical Prices." Note: Nasdaq 100 (NDX) is represented by ^NDX on Yahoo Finance.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Nasdaq 100 (NDX) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday) is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Nasdaq 100 (NDX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/history, published under "Historical Prices." Note: Nasdaq 100 (NDX) is represented by ^NDX on Yahoo Finance.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Nasdaq 100 (NDX) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday) is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Nasdaq 100 (NDX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/history, published under "Historical Prices." Note: Nasdaq 100 (NDX) is represented by ^NDX on Yahoo Finance.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Nasdaq 100 (NDX) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday) is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Nasdaq 100 (NDX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/history, published under "Historical Prices." Note: Nasdaq 100 (NDX) is represented by ^NDX on Yahoo Finance.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Nasdaq 100 (NDX) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday) is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Nasdaq 100 (NDX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/history, published under "Historical Prices." Note: Nasdaq 100 (NDX) is represented by ^NDX on Yahoo Finance.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Nasdaq 100 (NDX) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday) is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Nasdaq 100 (NDX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/history, published under "Historical Prices." Note: Nasdaq 100 (NDX) is represented by ^NDX on Yahoo Finance.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Nasdaq 100 (NDX) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday) is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Nasdaq 100 (NDX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/history, published under "Historical Prices." Note: Nasdaq 100 (NDX) is represented by ^NDX on Yahoo Finance.

Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 62% implied probability that the Nasdaq 100 (NDX) will close above 20,000 at the end of the week of March 16 (Friday, March 21), reflecting optimism from recent AI-driven tech rallies pushing NDX from 19,200 in early March to a current 19,850 level amid $2.5 trillion in market cap gains for the Magnificent Seven. Key catalysts include the FOMC meeting on March 18-19, where dot plot updates could signal fewer 2025 rate cuts if inflation persists, and Thursday's CPI print, with core expected at 3.7% YoY—above 2% target risks pressuring growth stocks. Volatility (VIX at 16) and historical precedent (NDX up 8% post-dovish FOMC) underscore resolution risks, with traders eyeing 20,100 as pivotal resistance.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Will Nasdaq 100 (NDX) finish week of March 16 above___?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "19,750" at 100%, followed by "20,000" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Will Nasdaq 100 (NDX) finish week of March 16 above___?" has generated $15K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 9, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Will Nasdaq 100 (NDX) finish week of March 16 above___?," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Will Nasdaq 100 (NDX) finish week of March 16 above___?" is "19,750" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "20,000" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Will Nasdaq 100 (NDX) finish week of March 16 above___?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.