Market icon
Finance·Monthly

What will Nasdaq 100 (NDX) hit in March?

Market icon
Finance·Monthly

What will Nasdaq 100 (NDX) hit in March?

Ended: Apr 1

Ended: Apr 1

$101,166 Vol.

Apr 1, 2026
Polymarket

$101,166 Vol.

Polymarket

↑ 22050

$0 Vol.

Yes

↑ 21675

$0 Vol.

Yes

↑ 21375

$0 Vol.

Yes

↑ 21075

$0 Vol.

Yes

↑ 20850

$0 Vol.

Yes

↑ 20700

$0 Vol.

Yes

↑ 20550

$0 Vol.

Yes

↓ 20400

$8,949 Vol.

No

↓ 20250

$12,846 Vol.

No

↓ 20100

$4,030 Vol.

No

↓ 19875

$4,806 Vol.

No

↓ 19650

$4,767 Vol.

No

↓ 19350

$29,841 Vol.

No

↓ 18975

$35,927 Vol.

No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during March 2026, any 1-minute candle for Nasdaq 100 (NDX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered. Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered. All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for Nasdaq 100 (NDX). Note: Nasdaq 100 (NDX) is represented by ^NDX on Yahoo Finance.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during March 2026, any 1-minute candle for Nasdaq 100 (NDX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered. Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered. All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for Nasdaq 100 (NDX). Note: Nasdaq 100 (NDX) is represented by ^NDX on Yahoo Finance.The Nasdaq 100 (NDX) endured significant volatility in March 2026, driven primarily by escalating U.S.-Israel tensions with Iran that spiked oil prices, stoked inflation fears, and triggered a risk-off selloff, pushing the index into correction territory (down over 10% from peaks) by March 27. Trading between a monthly high near 25,059 early on and lows of 22,841 on March 30, NDX closed March 31 at 23,199—up 3.43% that day but capping a sharply negative monthly return and YTD performance of -9.09%. Tech-heavy composition amplified losses amid AI investment fatigue, with trader consensus reflecting macro headwinds. Key watches include April CPI, Q1 earnings season, and Nasdaq-100 methodology updates effective May 1.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during March 2026, any 1-minute candle for Nasdaq 100 (NDX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.

Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.

All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.

The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for Nasdaq 100 (NDX).

Note: Nasdaq 100 (NDX) is represented by ^NDX on Yahoo Finance.
Volume
$101,166
End Date
Apr 1, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 9, 2026, 4:45 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during March 2026, any 1-minute candle for Nasdaq 100 (NDX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered. Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered. All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for Nasdaq 100 (NDX). Note: Nasdaq 100 (NDX) is represented by ^NDX on Yahoo Finance.

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during March 2026, any 1-minute candle for Nasdaq 100 (NDX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered. Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered. All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for Nasdaq 100 (NDX). Note: Nasdaq 100 (NDX) is represented by ^NDX on Yahoo Finance.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during March 2026, any 1-minute candle for Nasdaq 100 (NDX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered. Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered. All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for Nasdaq 100 (NDX). Note: Nasdaq 100 (NDX) is represented by ^NDX on Yahoo Finance.The Nasdaq 100 (NDX) endured significant volatility in March 2026, driven primarily by escalating U.S.-Israel tensions with Iran that spiked oil prices, stoked inflation fears, and triggered a risk-off selloff, pushing the index into correction territory (down over 10% from peaks) by March 27. Trading between a monthly high near 25,059 early on and lows of 22,841 on March 30, NDX closed March 31 at 23,199—up 3.43% that day but capping a sharply negative monthly return and YTD performance of -9.09%. Tech-heavy composition amplified losses amid AI investment fatigue, with trader consensus reflecting macro headwinds. Key watches include April CPI, Q1 earnings season, and Nasdaq-100 methodology updates effective May 1.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during March 2026, any 1-minute candle for Nasdaq 100 (NDX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.

Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.

All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.

The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for Nasdaq 100 (NDX).

Note: Nasdaq 100 (NDX) is represented by ^NDX on Yahoo Finance.
Volume
$101,166
End Date
Apr 1, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 9, 2026, 4:45 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during March 2026, any 1-minute candle for Nasdaq 100 (NDX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered. Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered. All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for Nasdaq 100 (NDX). Note: Nasdaq 100 (NDX) is represented by ^NDX on Yahoo Finance.

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

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Frequently Asked Questions

"What will Nasdaq 100 (NDX) hit in March?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 14 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "↑ 22050" at 100%, followed by "↑ 21675" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "What will Nasdaq 100 (NDX) hit in March?" has generated $101.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 9, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "What will Nasdaq 100 (NDX) hit in March?," browse the 14 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What will Nasdaq 100 (NDX) hit in March?" is "↑ 22050" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "↑ 21675" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What will Nasdaq 100 (NDX) hit in March?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.