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Finance·Indicies

Nasdaq 100 (NDX) above ___ end of 2026?

Market icon
Finance·Indicies

Nasdaq 100 (NDX) above ___ end of 2026?

Dec 31

Dec 31

NEW
Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$7,256 Vol.

Polymarket

>$38,000

$1,459 Vol.

4%

>$33,000

$1,606 Vol.

5%

>$30,000

$596 Vol.

9%

>$27,000

$1,280 Vol.

25%

>$24,000

$931 Vol.

56%

>$19,000

$1,384 Vol.

78%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Nasdaq 100 (NDX) on the final trading day of December 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Nasdaq 100 (NDX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/history, published under "Historical Prices."The Nasdaq 100 (NDX), currently near 25,100 as of April 11, 2026, embodies trader consensus on sustained artificial intelligence-driven growth among top holdings like Nvidia and Microsoft, bolstered by Q1 earnings beats that propelled a 4% weekly rally amid cooling inflation data. Federal Reserve rate cuts have eased pressure on high-valuation growth stocks, with the index's forward P/E at 34 signaling premium pricing relative to historical norms. Market-implied paths target 29,000–35,000 by December, hinging on capex trends and revenue acceleration. Watch the April 28–29 FOMC for policy signals, alongside Q2 earnings from mega-cap tech leaders and upcoming CPI releases that could sway rate expectations and risk appetite.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Nasdaq 100 (NDX) on the final trading day of December 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.

If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.

The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Nasdaq 100 (NDX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Volume
$7,256
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 6, 2026, 9:37 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/history

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Nasdaq 100 (NDX) on the final trading day of December 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Nasdaq 100 (NDX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/history, published under "Historical Prices."
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Nasdaq 100 (NDX) on the final trading day of December 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Nasdaq 100 (NDX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/history, published under "Historical Prices."The Nasdaq 100 (NDX), currently near 25,100 as of April 11, 2026, embodies trader consensus on sustained artificial intelligence-driven growth among top holdings like Nvidia and Microsoft, bolstered by Q1 earnings beats that propelled a 4% weekly rally amid cooling inflation data. Federal Reserve rate cuts have eased pressure on high-valuation growth stocks, with the index's forward P/E at 34 signaling premium pricing relative to historical norms. Market-implied paths target 29,000–35,000 by December, hinging on capex trends and revenue acceleration. Watch the April 28–29 FOMC for policy signals, alongside Q2 earnings from mega-cap tech leaders and upcoming CPI releases that could sway rate expectations and risk appetite.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Nasdaq 100 (NDX) on the final trading day of December 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.

If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.

The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Nasdaq 100 (NDX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Volume
$7,256
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 6, 2026, 9:37 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/history

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Nasdaq 100 (NDX) on the final trading day of December 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Nasdaq 100 (NDX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/history, published under "Historical Prices."

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Nasdaq 100 (NDX) above ___ end of 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is ">$19,000" at 78%, followed by ">$24,000" at 56%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 78¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 78% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Nasdaq 100 (NDX) above ___ end of 2026?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jan 7, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Nasdaq 100 (NDX) above ___ end of 2026?," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Nasdaq 100 (NDX) above ___ end of 2026?" is ">$19,000" at 78%, meaning the market assigns a 78% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is ">$24,000" at 56%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Nasdaq 100 (NDX) above ___ end of 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.