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What will Nikkei 225 (NIK) hit in March?

Market icon

What will Nikkei 225 (NIK) hit in March?

$13,040 Vol.

Apr 1, 2026
Polymarket

$13,040 Vol.

Polymarket

↓ 38500

$2,002 Vol.

<1%

↓ 38000

$1,517 Vol.

<1%

↓ 37500

$2,438 Vol.

<1%

↓ 36750

$2,215 Vol.

<1%

↓ 36000

$500 Vol.

1%

↓ 35000

$2,492 Vol.

1%

↓ 33750

$1,877 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during March 2026, any 1-minute candle for Nikkei 225 (NIK) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered. Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered. All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for Nikkei 225 (NIK). Note: Nikkei 225 (NIK) is represented by ^N225 on Yahoo Finance.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during March 2026, any 1-minute candle for Nikkei 225 (NIK) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered. Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered. All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for Nikkei 225 (NIK). Note: Nikkei 225 (NIK) is represented by ^N225 on Yahoo Finance.The Nikkei 225 index closed March 2026 at 51,246, down 1.23% on March 31 amid surging oil prices fueled by escalating Iran tensions, marking a volatile month with a 5.2% plunge on March 9—the third-largest daily drop in history—triggered by global risk-off flows and profit-taking from February peaks near 58,000. Bank of Japan policymakers held the policy rate at 0.75% on March 19, affirming moderate economic recovery while signaling readiness for hikes if inflation persists from energy costs, tempering trader consensus on near-term yen strength and export competitiveness. Polymarket traders price in heightened uncertainty from geopolitics, with Q1 corporate earnings and April U.S. economic data as key near-term catalysts that could sway resolution thresholds.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during March 2026, any 1-minute candle for Nikkei 225 (NIK) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.

Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.

All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.

The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for Nikkei 225 (NIK).

Note: Nikkei 225 (NIK) is represented by ^N225 on Yahoo Finance.
Volume
$13,040
End Date
Apr 1, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 9, 2026, 4:46 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during March 2026, any 1-minute candle for Nikkei 225 (NIK) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered. Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered. All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for Nikkei 225 (NIK). Note: Nikkei 225 (NIK) is represented by ^N225 on Yahoo Finance.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during March 2026, any 1-minute candle for Nikkei 225 (NIK) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered. Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered. All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for Nikkei 225 (NIK). Note: Nikkei 225 (NIK) is represented by ^N225 on Yahoo Finance.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during March 2026, any 1-minute candle for Nikkei 225 (NIK) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered. Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered. All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for Nikkei 225 (NIK). Note: Nikkei 225 (NIK) is represented by ^N225 on Yahoo Finance.The Nikkei 225 index closed March 2026 at 51,246, down 1.23% on March 31 amid surging oil prices fueled by escalating Iran tensions, marking a volatile month with a 5.2% plunge on March 9—the third-largest daily drop in history—triggered by global risk-off flows and profit-taking from February peaks near 58,000. Bank of Japan policymakers held the policy rate at 0.75% on March 19, affirming moderate economic recovery while signaling readiness for hikes if inflation persists from energy costs, tempering trader consensus on near-term yen strength and export competitiveness. Polymarket traders price in heightened uncertainty from geopolitics, with Q1 corporate earnings and April U.S. economic data as key near-term catalysts that could sway resolution thresholds.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during March 2026, any 1-minute candle for Nikkei 225 (NIK) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.

Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.

All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.

The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for Nikkei 225 (NIK).

Note: Nikkei 225 (NIK) is represented by ^N225 on Yahoo Finance.
Volume
$13,040
End Date
Apr 1, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 9, 2026, 4:46 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during March 2026, any 1-minute candle for Nikkei 225 (NIK) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered. Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered. All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for Nikkei 225 (NIK). Note: Nikkei 225 (NIK) is represented by ^N225 on Yahoo Finance.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"What will Nikkei 225 (NIK) hit in March?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 14 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "↑ 44000" at 100%, followed by "↑ 42750" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "What will Nikkei 225 (NIK) hit in March?" has generated $13K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 9, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "What will Nikkei 225 (NIK) hit in March?," browse the 14 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What will Nikkei 225 (NIK) hit in March?" is "↑ 44000" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "↑ 42750" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What will Nikkei 225 (NIK) hit in March?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.