NVIDIA (NVDA) shares closed March 30 at $165.17, down 1.4% amid macroeconomic pressures including oil above $100 per barrel, sticky Treasury yields, geopolitical tensions, and cloud providers signaling AI capex normalization for H2 2026, erasing ~10% quarter-to-date gains. Despite Q4 fiscal 2026 revenue of $68.1 billion (up 20% quarter-over-quarter) and 75% gross margins reported February 25, forward P/E has compressed to 19.6x—lowest since 2019 and below S&P 500—after breaking below the 200-day EMA. Analyst consensus targets $276 (Rosenblatt at $325 post-GTC), implying significant upside, but intraday March 31 volatility (open ~$170, range $167-$171) hinges on risk appetite ahead of May 20 Q1 earnings. Polymarket traders price in these dynamics with real capital at stake.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated$160
97%
$165
75%
$170
24%
$175
9%
$180
1%
$1,317 Vol.
$160
97%
$165
75%
$170
24%
$175
9%
$180
1%
If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Market Opened: Mar 30, 2026, 8:00 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...NVIDIA (NVDA) shares closed March 30 at $165.17, down 1.4% amid macroeconomic pressures including oil above $100 per barrel, sticky Treasury yields, geopolitical tensions, and cloud providers signaling AI capex normalization for H2 2026, erasing ~10% quarter-to-date gains. Despite Q4 fiscal 2026 revenue of $68.1 billion (up 20% quarter-over-quarter) and 75% gross margins reported February 25, forward P/E has compressed to 19.6x—lowest since 2019 and below S&P 500—after breaking below the 200-day EMA. Analyst consensus targets $276 (Rosenblatt at $325 post-GTC), implying significant upside, but intraday March 31 volatility (open ~$170, range $167-$171) hinges on risk appetite ahead of May 20 Q1 earnings. Polymarket traders price in these dynamics with real capital at stake.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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