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NVIDIA (NVDA) closes above ___ on March 31?

Market icon

NVIDIA (NVDA) closes above ___ on March 31?

Mar 31

Mar 31

NEW
Mar 31, 2026
Polymarket

$1,317 Vol.

Polymarket

$160

$185 Vol.

97%

$165

$255 Vol.

75%

$170

$576 Vol.

24%

$175

$134 Vol.

9%

$180

$167 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) on March 31 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/history, published under "Historical Prices."NVIDIA (NVDA) shares closed March 30 at $165.17, down 1.4% amid macroeconomic pressures including oil above $100 per barrel, sticky Treasury yields, geopolitical tensions, and cloud providers signaling AI capex normalization for H2 2026, erasing ~10% quarter-to-date gains. Despite Q4 fiscal 2026 revenue of $68.1 billion (up 20% quarter-over-quarter) and 75% gross margins reported February 25, forward P/E has compressed to 19.6x—lowest since 2019 and below S&P 500—after breaking below the 200-day EMA. Analyst consensus targets $276 (Rosenblatt at $325 post-GTC), implying significant upside, but intraday March 31 volatility (open ~$170, range $167-$171) hinges on risk appetite ahead of May 20 Q1 earnings. Polymarket traders price in these dynamics with real capital at stake.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) on March 31 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.

If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.

In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.

The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Volume
$1,317
End Date
Mar 31, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 30, 2026, 8:00 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) on March 31 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) on March 31 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/history, published under "Historical Prices."NVIDIA (NVDA) shares closed March 30 at $165.17, down 1.4% amid macroeconomic pressures including oil above $100 per barrel, sticky Treasury yields, geopolitical tensions, and cloud providers signaling AI capex normalization for H2 2026, erasing ~10% quarter-to-date gains. Despite Q4 fiscal 2026 revenue of $68.1 billion (up 20% quarter-over-quarter) and 75% gross margins reported February 25, forward P/E has compressed to 19.6x—lowest since 2019 and below S&P 500—after breaking below the 200-day EMA. Analyst consensus targets $276 (Rosenblatt at $325 post-GTC), implying significant upside, but intraday March 31 volatility (open ~$170, range $167-$171) hinges on risk appetite ahead of May 20 Q1 earnings. Polymarket traders price in these dynamics with real capital at stake.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) on March 31 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.

If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.

In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.

The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Volume
$1,317
End Date
Mar 31, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 30, 2026, 8:00 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) on March 31 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/history, published under "Historical Prices."

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Frequently Asked Questions

"NVIDIA (NVDA) closes above ___ on March 31?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "$160" at 97%, followed by "$165" at 75%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 97¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 97% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"NVIDIA (NVDA) closes above ___ on March 31?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Mar 31, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "NVIDIA (NVDA) closes above ___ on March 31?," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "NVIDIA (NVDA) closes above ___ on March 31?" is "$160" at 97%, meaning the market assigns a 97% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "$165" at 75%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "NVIDIA (NVDA) closes above ___ on March 31?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.