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Finance·Indicies

What will Hang Seng (HSI) hit in March?

Market icon
Finance·Indicies

What will Hang Seng (HSI) hit in March?

Apr 1

Apr 1

$47,515 Vol.

Apr 1, 2026
Polymarket

$47,515 Vol.

Polymarket

↓ 20700

$106 Vol.

2%

↓ 20400

$455 Vol.

1%

↓ 20100

$306 Vol.

2%

↓ 19650

$837 Vol.

<1%

↓ 19200

$353 Vol.

1%

↓ 18600

$1,136 Vol.

1%

↓ 17850

$44,322 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during March 2026, any 1-minute candle for Hang Seng (HSI) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered. Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered. All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for Hang Seng (HSI). Note: Hang Seng (HSI) is represented by ^HSI on Yahoo Finance.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during March 2026, any 1-minute candle for Hang Seng (HSI) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered. Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered. All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for Hang Seng (HSI). Note: Hang Seng (HSI) is represented by ^HSI on Yahoo Finance.The Hang Seng Index declined 5.9% in March 2026, opening at a close of 26,060 on March 2 before hitting a monthly high of 26,404 and plunging to a low of 24,204 on March 23 amid escalating Middle East geopolitical tensions that spiked oil prices above $108 per barrel and triggered broad risk-off flows. Heavyweights in technology and financials bore the brunt, exacerbated by China's slowing credit cycle, muted policy signals from the People's Bank of China, and index rebalancing effects. Trading volume surged on volatile days like March 23, reflecting heightened trader caution. With the month ending at around 24,751, focus shifts to April 1 Caixin manufacturing PMI and prospective stimulus measures that could influence Q1 GDP trajectory and southbound capital inflows.

The Hang Seng Index declined 5.9% in March 2026, opening at a close of 26,060 on March 2 before hitting a monthly high of 26,404 and plunging to a low of 24,204 on March 23 amid escalating Middle East geopolitical tensions that spiked oil prices above $108 per barrel and triggered broad risk-off flows. Heavyweights in technology and financials bore the brunt, exacerbated by China's slowing credit cycle, muted policy signals from the People's Bank of China, and index rebalancing effects. Trading volume surged on volatile days like March 23, reflecting heightened trader caution. With the month ending at around 24,751, focus shifts to April 1 Caixin manufacturing PMI and prospective stimulus measures that could influence Q1 GDP trajectory and southbound capital inflows.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during March 2026, any 1-minute candle for Hang Seng (HSI) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered. Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered. All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for Hang Seng (HSI). Note: Hang Seng (HSI) is represented by ^HSI on Yahoo Finance.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during March 2026, any 1-minute candle for Hang Seng (HSI) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered. Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered. All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for Hang Seng (HSI). Note: Hang Seng (HSI) is represented by ^HSI on Yahoo Finance.The Hang Seng Index declined 5.9% in March 2026, opening at a close of 26,060 on March 2 before hitting a monthly high of 26,404 and plunging to a low of 24,204 on March 23 amid escalating Middle East geopolitical tensions that spiked oil prices above $108 per barrel and triggered broad risk-off flows. Heavyweights in technology and financials bore the brunt, exacerbated by China's slowing credit cycle, muted policy signals from the People's Bank of China, and index rebalancing effects. Trading volume surged on volatile days like March 23, reflecting heightened trader caution. With the month ending at around 24,751, focus shifts to April 1 Caixin manufacturing PMI and prospective stimulus measures that could influence Q1 GDP trajectory and southbound capital inflows.

The Hang Seng Index declined 5.9% in March 2026, opening at a close of 26,060 on March 2 before hitting a monthly high of 26,404 and plunging to a low of 24,204 on March 23 amid escalating Middle East geopolitical tensions that spiked oil prices above $108 per barrel and triggered broad risk-off flows. Heavyweights in technology and financials bore the brunt, exacerbated by China's slowing credit cycle, muted policy signals from the People's Bank of China, and index rebalancing effects. Trading volume surged on volatile days like March 23, reflecting heightened trader caution. With the month ending at around 24,751, focus shifts to April 1 Caixin manufacturing PMI and prospective stimulus measures that could influence Q1 GDP trajectory and southbound capital inflows.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"What will Hang Seng (HSI) hit in March?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 14 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "↑ 24000" at 100%, followed by "↑ 23250" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "What will Hang Seng (HSI) hit in March?" has generated $47.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 9, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "What will Hang Seng (HSI) hit in March?," browse the 14 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What will Hang Seng (HSI) hit in March?" is "↑ 24000" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "↑ 23250" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What will Hang Seng (HSI) hit in March?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.