Name: What will Nasdaq 100 (NDX) close at in December?
Start: 2026-01-07T02:41:48.667539Z
End: 2026-12-31T21:00:00Z

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This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Nasdaq 100 (NDX) on the final trading day of December 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.

If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.

The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Nasdaq 100 (NDX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/history, published under "Historical Prices."

<$23,500

$25,000-$26,500

$28,500-$30,500

$33,000-$36,000

$23,500-$25,000

$26,500-$28,500

$30,500-$33,000

>$36,000

NASDAQ 100 monthly close negrisk

What will Nasdaq 100 (NDX) close at in December?

This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Nasdaq 100 (NDX) on the final trading day of January 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.

If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.

The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Nasdaq 100 (NDX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/history, published under "Historical Prices."

What will Nasdaq 100 (NDX) close at in January?

This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Nasdaq 100 (NDX) on the final trading day of June 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.

If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.

The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Nasdaq 100 (NDX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/history, published under "Historical Prices."

What will Nasdaq 100 (NDX) close at in June?

If the Nancy Pelosi Index performs better than the S&P 500 Index in January 2026, this market will resolve to “Pelosi”. If the S&P 500 Index performs better than the Nancy Pelosi Index in January 2026, this market will resolve to “S&P”. 

The performance of each index will be the 1-month trailing percentage return of the index for the final trading day of the specified month.

The resolution source for the Nancy Pelosi Index (“Pelosi”) is: https://web.dubapp.com/portfolios/index/559433043512836096

Information from the "Performance" table for the Nancy Pelosi Index, specifically the 1-month trailing percentage return figures found under "1M", will be used to resolve this market, once information is finalized for the final day of the specified month.

If the Nancy Pelosi Index’s 1-month trailing percentage return figure for the last trading day of the specified month is not published by the time that the figure for the first trading day of the next month is published, this market will resolve based on the most recent 1-month trailing percentage return figure published by the specified resolution source for a day prior to the last trading day of the specified month.

The resolution source for S&P 500 ("S&P") is: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/quotes/index/SPX/historical-prices

Information from the "Historical Prices" table for the S&P 500 will be used to resolve this market. The S&P 500’s 1-month trailing percentage return will be calculated as the percentage change between the S&P 500’s closing price on the final trading day of the specified month and its closing price on the same calendar day of the previous month. If the relevant day in the previous month was not a trading day, the most recent trading day before this day will be used. If the same calendar day does not exist in the previous month, the return will be calculated using the final trading day of the previous month. Note that all relevant figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.

If either of the relevant days lack a specified closing price (for example, due to a trading halt into the market close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), this market will use the last valid historical price offered by the specified resolution source as the effective closing price for that day.

If either of the relevant trading days are shortened (for example, due to a market holiday schedule), the official closing price or 1-month return figure published for each relevant index for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If both indices perform exactly the same over this market’s timeframe, this market will resolve 50-50.

Updates to historical prices or figures displayed by any of the indices subsequent to this market's resolution will not be considered. This market will resolve according to the methodologies utilized by the specified indices as of the resolution time of this market, regardless of whether those methodologies are later updated.

Pelosi vs. S&P - January

This market will resolve based on Fannie Mae's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.

If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".

Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.

If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.

In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Fannie Mae’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.

Will Fannie Mae not IPO by June 30, 2026?

This market will resolve based on Medline’s market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.

As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on December 17. If no Medline IPO occurs by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2026".

Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.

If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.

In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Medline’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.

Will Medline not IPO by December 31, 2025?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a marketwide circuit breaker is triggered on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) at any time between November 7, 2025, and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A marketwide circuit breaker is defined as a trading halt that is initiated due to significant declines in the S&P 500 Index, specifically a Level 1, Level 2, or Level 3 halt as per NYSE rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NYSE, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

What will Nasdaq 100 (NDX) close at in December?

<$23,500
$0 Vol.
42%

$23,500-$25,000
$0 Vol.
41%

$25,000-$26,500
$0 Vol.
42%

$26,500-$28,500
$0 Vol.
40%

$28,500-$30,500
$0 Vol.
42%

$30,500-$33,000
$0 Vol.
42%

$33,000-$36,000
$0 Vol.
40%

>$36,000
$0 Vol.
40%

Market Context

What will Nasdaq 100 (NDX) close at in December?

Rules

What will Nasdaq 100 (NDX) close at in December?

Market Context

What will Nasdaq 100 (NDX) close at in December?

About

Related

What will Nasdaq 100 (NDX) close at in December?

<$23,500$0 Vol.42%buy Yes80¢buy No96¢

$23,500-$25,000$0 Vol.41%buy Yes79¢buy No97¢

$25,000-$26,500$0 Vol.42%buy Yes80¢buy No96¢

$26,500-$28,500$0 Vol.40%buy Yes78¢buy No98¢

$28,500-$30,500$0 Vol.42%buy Yes80¢buy No96¢

$30,500-$33,000$0 Vol.42%buy Yes80¢buy No96¢

$33,000-$36,000$0 Vol.40%buy Yes78¢buy No98¢

>$36,000$0 Vol.40%buy Yes78¢buy No98¢

Market Context

What will Nasdaq 100 (NDX) close at in December?

Rules

What will Nasdaq 100 (NDX) close at in December?

Market Context

What will Nasdaq 100 (NDX) close at in December?

About

Related

<$23,500
$0 Vol.
42%

$23,500-$25,000
$0 Vol.
41%

$25,000-$26,500
$0 Vol.
42%

$26,500-$28,500
$0 Vol.
40%

$28,500-$30,500
$0 Vol.
42%

$30,500-$33,000
$0 Vol.
42%

$33,000-$36,000
$0 Vol.
40%

>$36,000
$0 Vol.
40%