KOSPI (^KS11) trader consensus on Polymarket reflects optimism for moderate gains into Q1 2026, driven by South Korea's semiconductor export rebound amid global AI demand fueling giants like Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix, which comprise over 30% of the index weighting. The index recently surged 8% in September to above 2,600, supported by Bank of Korea's 50 basis point rate cut to 3.25% and easing inflation pressures, with September CPI at 1.6% year-over-year. Analyst estimates from Nomura and KB Financial project end-2025 levels around 2,900, implying 10-15% upside, though risks from U.S. election tariffs and China slowdown loom. Key catalysts include Q4 corporate earnings in late October, November BoK meeting, and December U.S. jobs data shaping rate paths.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedWhat will KOSPI (^KS11) hit in Q1 2026?
What will KOSPI (^KS11) hit in Q1 2026?
$39,318 Vol.
↑ 7000
3%
↑ 6500
2%
↓ 4800
3%
↓ 4700
1%
↓ 4600
2%
↓ 4500
1%
$39,318 Vol.
↑ 7000
3%
↑ 6500
2%
↓ 4800
3%
↓ 4700
1%
↓ 4600
2%
↓ 4500
1%
The first quarter of 2026 ends on March 31, 2026. All prices recorded on or before this date during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for the KOSPI Composite Index (^KS11) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EKS11/.
Market Opened: Jan 27, 2026, 5:28 PM ET
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0x65070BE91...KOSPI (^KS11) trader consensus on Polymarket reflects optimism for moderate gains into Q1 2026, driven by South Korea's semiconductor export rebound amid global AI demand fueling giants like Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix, which comprise over 30% of the index weighting. The index recently surged 8% in September to above 2,600, supported by Bank of Korea's 50 basis point rate cut to 3.25% and easing inflation pressures, with September CPI at 1.6% year-over-year. Analyst estimates from Nomura and KB Financial project end-2025 levels around 2,900, implying 10-15% upside, though risks from U.S. election tariffs and China slowdown loom. Key catalysts include Q4 corporate earnings in late October, November BoK meeting, and December U.S. jobs data shaping rate paths.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated


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