Melissa US landfall at what category?
≤1 100.0%
2 <1%
3 <1%
4 <1%
$131,712 Vol.
$131,712 Vol.
Nov 30, 2025
≤1
$39,690 Vol.
Yes
≤1
$39,690 Vol.
Yes
2
$19,189 Vol.
No
2
$19,189 Vol.
No
3
$19,195 Vol.
No
3
$19,195 Vol.
No
4
$30,119 Vol.
No
4
$30,119 Vol.
No
5
$23,520 Vol.
No
5
$23,520 Vol.
No
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the tropical system currently named Melissa first makes landfall in the contiguous United States as a Category 1 hurricane or weaker, as reported in official National Hurricane Center advisories (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/).
If Melissa is not officially reported to be Category 1 or weaker at the time of its first landfall in the contiguous United States, this market shall resolve to "No".
If Melissa dissipates without making landfall in the contiguous United States, this market will resolve to "Yes".
For the purposes of this market, hurricane categories are defined by NOAA (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php), and a hurricane landfall is considered to occur when the hurricane's surface center intersects with the coastline (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml#LANDFALL).
This market will resolve based on an initial advisory released by the NHC for whether Melissa has made landfall in the contiguous United States at a strength of Category 1 or weaker, regardless of any later retraction or analysis that may contradict the initial announcement.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the tropical system currently named Melissa first makes landfall in the contiguous United States as a Category 1 hurricane or weaker, as reported in official National Hurricane Center advisories (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/).
If Melissa is not officially reported to be Category 1 or weaker at the time of its first landfall in the contiguous United States, this market shall resolve to "No".
If Melissa dissipates without making landfall in the contiguous United States, this market will resolve to "Yes".
For the purposes of this market, hurricane categories are defined by NOAA (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php), and a hurricane landfall is considered to occur when the hurricane's surface center intersects with the coastline (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml#LANDFALL).
This market will resolve based on an initial advisory released by the NHC for whether Melissa has made landfall in the contiguous United States at a strength of Category 1 or weaker, regardless of any later retraction or analysis that may contradict the initial announcement.
If Melissa is not officially reported to be Category 1 or weaker at the time of its first landfall in the contiguous United States, this market shall resolve to "No".
If Melissa dissipates without making landfall in the contiguous United States, this market will resolve to "Yes".
For the purposes of this market, hurricane categories are defined by NOAA (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php), and a hurricane landfall is considered to occur when the hurricane's surface center intersects with the coastline (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml#LANDFALL).
This market will resolve based on an initial advisory released by the NHC for whether Melissa has made landfall in the contiguous United States at a strength of Category 1 or weaker, regardless of any later retraction or analysis that may contradict the initial announcement.
Created At: Oct 23, 2025, 3:20 PM ET
Volume
$131,712End Date
Nov 30, 2025Created At
Oct 23, 2025, 3:20 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
Melissa US landfall at what category?
≤1 100.0%
2 <1%
3 <1%
4 <1%
$131,712 Vol.
$131,712 Vol.
Nov 30, 2025
≤1
$39,690 Vol.
Yes
2
$19,189 Vol.
No
3
$19,195 Vol.
No
4
$30,119 Vol.
No
5
$23,520 Vol.
No
About
Volume
$131,712End Date
Nov 30, 2025Created At
Oct 23, 2025, 3:20 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...
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