May 2024 Temperature Increase (ºC)
<1.03 100.0%
1.03-1.09 100.0%
1.10-1.16 100.0%
1.17-1.23 100.0%
$556,252 Vol.
$556,252 Vol.
Jun 1, 2024
<1.03
$128,471 Vol.
No
<1.03
$128,471 Vol.
No
1.03-1.09
$142,042 Vol.
No
1.03-1.09
$142,042 Vol.
No
1.10-1.16
$67,421 Vol.
Yes
1.10-1.16
$67,421 Vol.
Yes
1.17-1.23
$51,230 Vol.
No
1.17-1.23
$51,230 Vol.
No
1.24-1.30
$77,493 Vol.
No
1.24-1.30
$77,493 Vol.
No
>1.30
$89,596 Vol.
No
>1.30
$89,596 Vol.
No
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for May 2024 shows an increase of less than 1.03°C when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An anomaly of less than 1.03°C for May 2024 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available regardless of whether the figure for May 2024 is later revised.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "May" in the row "2024" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for May 2024 is provided by NASA by July 1, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Yes".This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for May 2024 shows an increase of less than 1.03°C when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An anomaly of less than 1.03°C for May 2024 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available regardless of whether the figure for May 2024 is later revised.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "May" in the row "2024" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for May 2024 is provided by NASA by July 1, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Yes".
An anomaly of less than 1.03°C for May 2024 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available regardless of whether the figure for May 2024 is later revised.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "May" in the row "2024" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for May 2024 is provided by NASA by July 1, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Yes".
Created At: May 10, 2024, 3:59 PM ET
Volume
$556,252End Date
Jun 1, 2024Created At
May 10, 2024, 3:59 PM ETResolution Source
https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txtResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
May 2024 Temperature Increase (ºC)
<1.03 100.0%
1.03-1.09 100.0%
1.10-1.16 100.0%
1.17-1.23 100.0%
$556,252 Vol.
$556,252 Vol.
Jun 1, 2024
<1.03
$128,471 Vol.
No
1.03-1.09
$142,042 Vol.
No
1.10-1.16
$67,421 Vol.
Yes
1.17-1.23
$51,230 Vol.
No
1.24-1.30
$77,493 Vol.
No
>1.30
$89,596 Vol.
No
About
Volume
$556,252End Date
Jun 1, 2024Created At
May 10, 2024, 3:59 PM ETResolution Source
https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txtResolver
0x2F5e3684c...
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