Market icon

Lula out before April?

<1% chance

$57,414 Vol.

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva announces his resignation or otherwise ceases to be President of Brazil for any length of time between December 10, 2024, and March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If Lula ceases to be President of Brazil for any length of time within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "Yes". This market will not resolve to "No" until its timeframe expires and Lula has remained President of Brazil for the entire duration without interruption.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$57,414
End Date
Mar 31, 2025
Created At
Dec 11, 2024, 7:59 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva announces his resignation or otherwise ceases to be President of Brazil for any length of time between December 10, 2024, and March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Lula ceases to be President of Brazil for any length of time within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "Yes". This market will not resolve to "No" until its timeframe expires and Lula has remained President of Brazil for the entire duration without interruption. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Beware of external links.

Market icon

Lula out before April?

<1% chance

$57,414 Vol.

About

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva announces his resignation or otherwise ceases to be President of Brazil for any length of time between December 10, 2024, and March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If Lula ceases to be President of Brazil for any length of time within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "Yes". This market will not resolve to "No" until its timeframe expires and Lula has remained President of Brazil for the entire duration without interruption.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$57,414
End Date
Jan 31, 2025
Created At
Dec 11, 2024, 7:59 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva announces his resignation or otherwise ceases to be President of Brazil for any length of time between December 10, 2024, and March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Lula ceases to be President of Brazil for any length of time within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "Yes". This market will not resolve to "No" until its timeframe expires and Lula has remained President of Brazil for the entire duration without interruption. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Beware of external links.