Trader consensus on Ayatollah Khamenei's official X posts from March 24-31, 2026, clusters around low ranges like <20 (26.5%) and 20-39 (27.5%), reflecting his historically infrequent activity—typically 1-5 posts weekly, mostly official statements or speech excerpts amid geopolitical tensions or religious occasions. This tight distribution stems from steady baseline patterns, with rare spikes during events like Nowruz aftermath or Quds Day proximity, keeping higher bins viable despite low probability. Recent Iranian diplomatic frictions with Israel and U.S. policy signals have not altered his posting rhythm, but escalations, health updates, or domestic policy announcements could drive separation toward 40+ tallies, while prolonged quiet sustains sub-20 odds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedKhamenei # posts March 24 - March 31, 2026?
Khamenei # posts March 24 - March 31, 2026?
20-39 28%
<20 25%
40-59 20%
60-79 12%
<20
25%
20-39
28%
40-59
20%
60-79
12%
80-99
11%
100-119
14%
120-139
10%
140-159
10%
160-179
11%
180-199
10%
200+
11%
20-39 28%
<20 25%
40-59 20%
60-79 12%
<20
25%
20-39
28%
40-59
20%
60-79
12%
80-99
11%
100-119
14%
120-139
10%
140-159
10%
160-179
11%
180-199
10%
200+
11%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Mar 21, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Ayatollah Khamenei's official X posts from March 24-31, 2026, clusters around low ranges like <20 (26.5%) and 20-39 (27.5%), reflecting his historically infrequent activity—typically 1-5 posts weekly, mostly official statements or speech excerpts amid geopolitical tensions or religious occasions. This tight distribution stems from steady baseline patterns, with rare spikes during events like Nowruz aftermath or Quds Day proximity, keeping higher bins viable despite low probability. Recent Iranian diplomatic frictions with Israel and U.S. policy signals have not altered his posting rhythm, but escalations, health updates, or domestic policy announcements could drive separation toward 40+ tallies, while prolonged quiet sustains sub-20 odds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
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