Hungary's parliamentary election on April 12 operates under a mixed system with 106 single-member districts and 93 proportional seats allocated via national party lists, requiring a 5% threshold for list representation. Recent polls, including Medián's late February survey showing Tisza at 55%, Fidesz-KDNP at 35%, and Mi Hazánk at 6%, alongside averages placing Tisza at 49% and Fidesz at 41%, reflect Péter Magyar's Tisza party's sustained lead among likely voters after its 2024 EU poll surge and anti-corruption appeals amid economic woes. Mi Hazánk hovers near the threshold as a potential kingmaker, while other opposition parties like DK trail below 5%. JD Vance's visit bolsters Fidesz, amid voter intimidation claims and low election trust; final turnout and district races will decide parliamentary entry.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHungary Parliamentary Election: Which Parties Enter Parliament?
Hungary Parliamentary Election: Which Parties Enter Parliament?
$41,713 Vol.

Mi Hazánk
70%

MKKP
5%

DK
4%
$41,713 Vol.

Mi Hazánk
70%

MKKP
5%

DK
4%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed political party wins at least one seat in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of the election. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Market Opened: Mar 23, 2026, 11:51 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed political party wins at least one seat in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of the election. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Hungary's parliamentary election on April 12 operates under a mixed system with 106 single-member districts and 93 proportional seats allocated via national party lists, requiring a 5% threshold for list representation. Recent polls, including Medián's late February survey showing Tisza at 55%, Fidesz-KDNP at 35%, and Mi Hazánk at 6%, alongside averages placing Tisza at 49% and Fidesz at 41%, reflect Péter Magyar's Tisza party's sustained lead among likely voters after its 2024 EU poll surge and anti-corruption appeals amid economic woes. Mi Hazánk hovers near the threshold as a potential kingmaker, while other opposition parties like DK trail below 5%. JD Vance's visit bolsters Fidesz, amid voter intimidation claims and low election trust; final turnout and district races will decide parliamentary entry.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated



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