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Hungary Parliamentary Election: Which Parties Enter Parliament?

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Hungary Parliamentary Election: Which Parties Enter Parliament?

$41,713 Vol.

Apr 12, 2026
Polymarket

$41,713 Vol.

Polymarket
Market icon

Mi Hazánk

$30,969 Vol.

70%

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MKKP

$3,445 Vol.

5%

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DK

$7,298 Vol.

4%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on 12 April 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed political party wins at least one seat in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of the election. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).Hungary's parliamentary election on April 12 operates under a mixed system with 106 single-member districts and 93 proportional seats allocated via national party lists, requiring a 5% threshold for list representation. Recent polls, including Medián's late February survey showing Tisza at 55%, Fidesz-KDNP at 35%, and Mi Hazánk at 6%, alongside averages placing Tisza at 49% and Fidesz at 41%, reflect Péter Magyar's Tisza party's sustained lead among likely voters after its 2024 EU poll surge and anti-corruption appeals amid economic woes. Mi Hazánk hovers near the threshold as a potential kingmaker, while other opposition parties like DK trail below 5%. JD Vance's visit bolsters Fidesz, amid voter intimidation claims and low election trust; final turnout and district races will decide parliamentary entry.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on 12 April 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed political party wins at least one seat in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of the election. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Volume
$41,713
End Date
Apr 12, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 23, 2026, 11:51 AM ET
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on 12 April 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed political party wins at least one seat in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of the election. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on 12 April 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed political party wins at least one seat in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of the election. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).Hungary's parliamentary election on April 12 operates under a mixed system with 106 single-member districts and 93 proportional seats allocated via national party lists, requiring a 5% threshold for list representation. Recent polls, including Medián's late February survey showing Tisza at 55%, Fidesz-KDNP at 35%, and Mi Hazánk at 6%, alongside averages placing Tisza at 49% and Fidesz at 41%, reflect Péter Magyar's Tisza party's sustained lead among likely voters after its 2024 EU poll surge and anti-corruption appeals amid economic woes. Mi Hazánk hovers near the threshold as a potential kingmaker, while other opposition parties like DK trail below 5%. JD Vance's visit bolsters Fidesz, amid voter intimidation claims and low election trust; final turnout and district races will decide parliamentary entry.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on 12 April 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed political party wins at least one seat in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of the election. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Volume
$41,713
End Date
Apr 12, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 23, 2026, 11:51 AM ET
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on 12 April 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed political party wins at least one seat in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of the election. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Hungary Parliamentary Election: Which Parties Enter Parliament?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Mi Hazánk" at 70%, followed by "MKKP" at 5%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 70¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 70% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Hungary Parliamentary Election: Which Parties Enter Parliament?" has generated $41.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 23, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Hungary Parliamentary Election: Which Parties Enter Parliament?," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Hungary Parliamentary Election: Which Parties Enter Parliament?" is "Mi Hazánk" at 70%, meaning the market assigns a 70% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "MKKP" at 5%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Hungary Parliamentary Election: Which Parties Enter Parliament?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.