With Hungary's parliamentary election one week away on April 12, recent opinion polls from independent firms like Medián and 21 Research Centre show opposition leader Péter Magyar's center-right Tisza party surging ahead of Prime Minister Viktor Orbán's Fidesz-KDNP alliance by 19-23 points among likely voters, marking the widest gap yet and fueling trader focus on party thresholds. Under Hungary's mixed electoral system, parties must secure at least 5% of national party-list votes to enter the 199-seat unicameral parliament, while single-member district winners bolster seats; Fidesz historically dominates districts, but Tisza's momentum could elevate it alongside holdouts like Democratic Coalition (DK), LMP, or far-right Mi Hazánk. Low election trust and undecided voters add uncertainty ahead of final campaigning.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHungary Parliamentary Election: Which Parties Enter Parliament?
Hungary Parliamentary Election: Which Parties Enter Parliament?
$79,704 Vol.

Mi Hazánk
77%

MKKP
3%

DK
3%
$79,704 Vol.

Mi Hazánk
77%

MKKP
3%

DK
3%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed political party wins at least one seat in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of the election. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Market Opened: Mar 23, 2026, 11:51 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed political party wins at least one seat in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of the election. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Resolver
0x65070BE91...With Hungary's parliamentary election one week away on April 12, recent opinion polls from independent firms like Medián and 21 Research Centre show opposition leader Péter Magyar's center-right Tisza party surging ahead of Prime Minister Viktor Orbán's Fidesz-KDNP alliance by 19-23 points among likely voters, marking the widest gap yet and fueling trader focus on party thresholds. Under Hungary's mixed electoral system, parties must secure at least 5% of national party-list votes to enter the 199-seat unicameral parliament, while single-member district winners bolster seats; Fidesz historically dominates districts, but Tisza's momentum could elevate it alongside holdouts like Democratic Coalition (DK), LMP, or far-right Mi Hazánk. Low election trust and undecided voters add uncertainty ahead of final campaigning.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated



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