Environment Canada's latest forecast for Toronto on April 1 pins the daytime high at 9–10°C under persistent cloudy skies with a 60% chance of showers, driving trader consensus to a 94% implied probability on 10°C as the peak temperature at official stations like Toronto Pearson International Airport. Current morning observations show temperatures around 6°C with overcast conditions suppressing solar heating, consistent with a cool post-frontal air mass over southern Ontario and model agreement from the Canadian Meteorological Centre. Historical April averages hover near 11°C, but subdued winds and cloud cover limit upside potential. Realistic challenges include unexpected sunny breaks boosting insolation to push toward 11–12°C, though latest guidance shows low likelihood before evening observations finalize the outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Toronto on April 1?
Highest temperature in Toronto on April 1?
10°C 98.4%
11°C 2.9%
12°C 2.5%
14°C or higher <1%
$348,214 Vol.
$348,214 Vol.
Apr 1, 2026
9°C
<1%
10°C
98%
11°C
3%
12°C
2%
13°C
<1%
14°C or higher
1%
10°C 98.4%
11°C 2.9%
12°C 2.5%
14°C or higher <1%
$348,214 Vol.
$348,214 Vol.
Apr 1, 2026
9°C
$36,873 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$15,731 Vol.
98%
11°C
$8,659 Vol.
3%
12°C
$8,395 Vol.
2%
13°C
$10,366 Vol.
<1%
14°C or higher
$18,059 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Environment Canada's latest forecast for Toronto on April 1 pins the daytime high at 9–10°C under persistent cloudy skies with a 60% chance of showers, driving trader consensus to a 94% implied probability on 10°C as the peak temperature at official stations like Toronto Pearson International Airport. Current morning observations show temperatures around 6°C with overcast conditions suppressing solar heating, consistent with a cool post-frontal air mass over southern Ontario and model agreement from the Canadian Meteorological Centre. Historical April averages hover near 11°C, but subdued winds and cloud cover limit upside potential. Realistic challenges include unexpected sunny breaks boosting insolation to push toward 11–12°C, though latest guidance shows low likelihood before evening observations finalize the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 29, 2026, 1:53 PM ET
Volume
$348,214End Date
Apr 1, 2026Market Opened
Mar 29, 2026, 1:53 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Environment Canada's latest forecast for Toronto on April 1 pins the daytime high at 9–10°C under persistent cloudy skies with a 60% chance of showers, driving trader consensus to a 94% implied probability on 10°C as the peak temperature at official stations like Toronto Pearson International Airport. Current morning observations show temperatures around 6°C with overcast conditions suppressing solar heating, consistent with a cool post-frontal air mass over southern Ontario and model agreement from the Canadian Meteorological Centre. Historical April averages hover near 11°C, but subdued winds and cloud cover limit upside potential. Realistic challenges include unexpected sunny breaks boosting insolation to push toward 11–12°C, though latest guidance shows low likelihood before evening observations finalize the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$348,214End Date
Apr 1, 2026Market Opened
Mar 29, 2026, 1:53 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Environment Canada's latest forecast for Toronto on April 1 pins the daytime high at 9–10°C under persistent cloudy skies with a 60% chance of showers, driving trader consensus to a 94% implied probability on 10°C as the peak temperature at official stations like Toronto Pearson International Airport. Current morning observations show temperatures around 6°C with overcast conditions suppressing solar heating, consistent with a cool post-frontal air mass over southern Ontario and model agreement from the Canadian Meteorological Centre. Historical April averages hover near 11°C, but subdued winds and cloud cover limit upside potential. Realistic challenges include unexpected sunny breaks boosting insolation to push toward 11–12°C, though latest guidance shows low likelihood before evening observations finalize the outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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