Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 19°C (39.5%) as Tel Aviv's highest temperature today, closely trailed by 18°C (30%) and 20°C (26.5%), reflecting tight forecast model agreement from ECMWF and GFS amid a cool air mass over the eastern Mediterranean. Yesterday's official Israel Meteorological Service reading of 22°C at Ben Gurion Airport—under partly cloudy skies and southwest winds of 10-15 km/h—set a mild baseline, but today's outlook shifts cooler due to increased mid- and high-level cloud cover, scattered showers (30-50% chance midday), and persistent upper-level troughing suppressing peak solar heating. Late-March climatology averages 19-21°C highs, with uncertainty hinging on cloud breaks during afternoon peak hours (1-4 p.m. local); updated hourly observations will refine trader positioning before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on March 30?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on March 30?
20°C 41%
19°C 37%
18°C 21%
21°C 5.8%
$13,523 Vol.
$13,523 Vol.
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
21%
19°C
37%
20°C
41%
21°C
6%
22°C
1%
23°C or higher
<1%
20°C 41%
19°C 37%
18°C 21%
21°C 5.8%
$13,523 Vol.
$13,523 Vol.
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
21%
19°C
37%
20°C
41%
21°C
6%
22°C
1%
23°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 29, 2026, 2:12 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
Dispute window
Final
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
Dispute window
Final
Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 19°C (39.5%) as Tel Aviv's highest temperature today, closely trailed by 18°C (30%) and 20°C (26.5%), reflecting tight forecast model agreement from ECMWF and GFS amid a cool air mass over the eastern Mediterranean. Yesterday's official Israel Meteorological Service reading of 22°C at Ben Gurion Airport—under partly cloudy skies and southwest winds of 10-15 km/h—set a mild baseline, but today's outlook shifts cooler due to increased mid- and high-level cloud cover, scattered showers (30-50% chance midday), and persistent upper-level troughing suppressing peak solar heating. Late-March climatology averages 19-21°C highs, with uncertainty hinging on cloud breaks during afternoon peak hours (1-4 p.m. local); updated hourly observations will refine trader positioning before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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