Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits around 22–25°C for Tel Aviv's highest temperature on April 3, mirroring the spread in medium-range ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts amid inherent short-term uncertainty four days out. Following a cool, cloudy regime on March 29 with Israel Meteorological Service-recorded highs near 15°C and coastal showers, models now project a transition to milder spring conditions influenced by Mediterranean sea breezes, which cap daytime heating, and variable upper-level trough positioning that could sustain partial cloud cover or allow ridging for warmer outcomes. Neutral ENSO favors typical early-April climatology of 22–24°C averages, with differentiation hinging on cloud persistence versus sunnier skies; watch daily IMS updates and 12Z model runs for refinement.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 3?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 3?
23°C 25%
22°C 22%
25°C or higher 22%
24°C 18%
NEW
NEW
Apr 3, 2026
15°C or below
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
12%
18°C
11%
19°C
11%
20°C
10%
21°C
17%
22°C
22%
23°C
25%
24°C
18%
25°C or higher
22%
23°C 25%
22°C 22%
25°C or higher 22%
24°C 18%
NEW
NEW
Apr 3, 2026
15°C or below
$238 Vol.
1%
16°C
$222 Vol.
1%
17°C
$0 Vol.
12%
18°C
$0 Vol.
11%
19°C
$0 Vol.
11%
20°C
$0 Vol.
10%
21°C
$0 Vol.
17%
22°C
$0 Vol.
22%
23°C
$0 Vol.
25%
24°C
$0 Vol.
18%
25°C or higher
$0 Vol.
22%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits around 22–25°C for Tel Aviv's highest temperature on April 3, mirroring the spread in medium-range ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts amid inherent short-term uncertainty four days out. Following a cool, cloudy regime on March 29 with Israel Meteorological Service-recorded highs near 15°C and coastal showers, models now project a transition to milder spring conditions influenced by Mediterranean sea breezes, which cap daytime heating, and variable upper-level trough positioning that could sustain partial cloud cover or allow ridging for warmer outcomes. Neutral ENSO favors typical early-April climatology of 22–24°C averages, with differentiation hinging on cloud persistence versus sunnier skies; watch daily IMS updates and 12Z model runs for refinement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 29, 2026, 2:47 PM ET
Volume
$460End Date
Apr 3, 2026Market Opened
Mar 29, 2026, 2:47 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits around 22–25°C for Tel Aviv's highest temperature on April 3, mirroring the spread in medium-range ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts amid inherent short-term uncertainty four days out. Following a cool, cloudy regime on March 29 with Israel Meteorological Service-recorded highs near 15°C and coastal showers, models now project a transition to milder spring conditions influenced by Mediterranean sea breezes, which cap daytime heating, and variable upper-level trough positioning that could sustain partial cloud cover or allow ridging for warmer outcomes. Neutral ENSO favors typical early-April climatology of 22–24°C averages, with differentiation hinging on cloud persistence versus sunnier skies; watch daily IMS updates and 12Z model runs for refinement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$460End Date
Apr 3, 2026Market Opened
Mar 29, 2026, 2:47 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits around 22–25°C for Tel Aviv's highest temperature on April 3, mirroring the spread in medium-range ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts amid inherent short-term uncertainty four days out. Following a cool, cloudy regime on March 29 with Israel Meteorological Service-recorded highs near 15°C and coastal showers, models now project a transition to milder spring conditions influenced by Mediterranean sea breezes, which cap daytime heating, and variable upper-level trough positioning that could sustain partial cloud cover or allow ridging for warmer outcomes. Neutral ENSO favors typical early-April climatology of 22–24°C averages, with differentiation hinging on cloud persistence versus sunnier skies; watch daily IMS updates and 12Z model runs for refinement.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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