Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in Shenzhen's forecast high temperature for April 3, with 27°C edging out 28°C as models diverge on peak heating amid subtropical conditions. The China Meteorological Administration's midday update pegs a maximum of 27°C under thundershowers, potentially capping temperatures via convective clouds and sea breeze intrusion from the South China Sea, while some global ensembles like GFS hint at clearer intervals allowing 28-29°C. High humidity near 80% and southeasterly winds around 15 km/h further moderate peaks, consistent with April climatology averaging 27°C highs. Watch evening model runs and dawn observations for shifts before resolution based on official station data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Shenzhen on April 3?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 3?
27°C 32%
28°C 26%
26°C 18%
29°C 18%
$15,785 Vol.
$15,785 Vol.
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
5%
26°C
18%
27°C
32%
28°C
26%
29°C
18%
30°C or higher
5%
27°C 32%
28°C 26%
26°C 18%
29°C 18%
$15,785 Vol.
$15,785 Vol.
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
5%
26°C
18%
27°C
32%
28°C
26%
29°C
18%
30°C or higher
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 29, 2026, 2:37 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in Shenzhen's forecast high temperature for April 3, with 27°C edging out 28°C as models diverge on peak heating amid subtropical conditions. The China Meteorological Administration's midday update pegs a maximum of 27°C under thundershowers, potentially capping temperatures via convective clouds and sea breeze intrusion from the South China Sea, while some global ensembles like GFS hint at clearer intervals allowing 28-29°C. High humidity near 80% and southeasterly winds around 15 km/h further moderate peaks, consistent with April climatology averaging 27°C highs. Watch evening model runs and dawn observations for shifts before resolution based on official station data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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