Korea Meteorological Administration's (KMA) latest short-range numerical weather prediction models project Seoul's highest temperature on March 30 at precisely 18°C, driving the 99.9% market-implied probability as traders align with this authoritative forecast consensus. Cloudy conditions from a recent frontal passage, combined with low-level atmospheric stability and light westerly winds, are capping daytime heating, with hourly projections peaking in the mid-to-upper teens Celsius amid a 30% chance of light precipitation. Observations so far show temperatures hovering around 16–17°C in the afternoon. This positioning fits late-March climatology, where Seoul highs typically range 15–20°C. Realistic challenges include unexpected cloud breaks enabling stronger solar insolation or a stalled front advecting warmer air, though model ensembles show low likelihood before evening KMA updates.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Seoul on March 30?
Highest temperature in Seoul on March 30?
18°C 99.5%
19°C <1%
20°C or higher <1%
$325,081 Vol.
$325,081 Vol.
Mar 30, 2026
18°C
100%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
18°C 99.5%
19°C <1%
20°C or higher <1%
$325,081 Vol.
$325,081 Vol.
Mar 30, 2026
18°C
$47,514 Vol.
100%
19°C
$45,819 Vol.
<1%
20°C or higher
$41,185 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration's (KMA) latest short-range numerical weather prediction models project Seoul's highest temperature on March 30 at precisely 18°C, driving the 99.9% market-implied probability as traders align with this authoritative forecast consensus. Cloudy conditions from a recent frontal passage, combined with low-level atmospheric stability and light westerly winds, are capping daytime heating, with hourly projections peaking in the mid-to-upper teens Celsius amid a 30% chance of light precipitation. Observations so far show temperatures hovering around 16–17°C in the afternoon. This positioning fits late-March climatology, where Seoul highs typically range 15–20°C. Realistic challenges include unexpected cloud breaks enabling stronger solar insolation or a stalled front advecting warmer air, though model ensembles show low likelihood before evening KMA updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 29, 2026, 2:37 PM ET
Volume
$325,081End Date
Mar 30, 2026Market Opened
Mar 29, 2026, 2:37 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration's (KMA) latest short-range numerical weather prediction models project Seoul's highest temperature on March 30 at precisely 18°C, driving the 99.9% market-implied probability as traders align with this authoritative forecast consensus. Cloudy conditions from a recent frontal passage, combined with low-level atmospheric stability and light westerly winds, are capping daytime heating, with hourly projections peaking in the mid-to-upper teens Celsius amid a 30% chance of light precipitation. Observations so far show temperatures hovering around 16–17°C in the afternoon. This positioning fits late-March climatology, where Seoul highs typically range 15–20°C. Realistic challenges include unexpected cloud breaks enabling stronger solar insolation or a stalled front advecting warmer air, though model ensembles show low likelihood before evening KMA updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$325,081End Date
Mar 30, 2026Market Opened
Mar 29, 2026, 2:37 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Korea Meteorological Administration's (KMA) latest short-range numerical weather prediction models project Seoul's highest temperature on March 30 at precisely 18°C, driving the 99.9% market-implied probability as traders align with this authoritative forecast consensus. Cloudy conditions from a recent frontal passage, combined with low-level atmospheric stability and light westerly winds, are capping daytime heating, with hourly projections peaking in the mid-to-upper teens Celsius amid a 30% chance of light precipitation. Observations so far show temperatures hovering around 16–17°C in the afternoon. This positioning fits late-March climatology, where Seoul highs typically range 15–20°C. Realistic challenges include unexpected cloud breaks enabling stronger solar insolation or a stalled front advecting warmer air, though model ensembles show low likelihood before evening KMA updates.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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