Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a tight race among 5–7°C for Munich's highest temperature today, driven by the latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) ICON model and ECMWF ensemble forecasts projecting a midday peak near 6°C amid persistent overcast skies and light rain showers. Early morning observations at Munich airport recorded 2°C with 91% humidity and southwest winds at 9 km/h, setting a cool baseline; dense cloud cover suppressing solar insolation differentiates outcomes—potential brief breaks could allow warming to 7°C, while afternoon precipitation favors 5°C or below. Gusts up to 38 km/h add mixing, capping extremes, with real-time DWD station data through late afternoon providing resolution clarity amid typical short-range forecast uncertainty.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Munich on March 30?
Highest temperature in Munich on March 30?
6°C 37%
5°C 31%
7°C 30%
4°C 9.7%
1°C
<1%
3°C
<1%
4°C
8%
5°C
31%
6°C
37%
7°C
30%
8°C
4%
9°C
1%
10°C or higher
1%
6°C 37%
5°C 31%
7°C 30%
4°C 9.7%
1°C
<1%
3°C
<1%
4°C
8%
5°C
31%
6°C
37%
7°C
30%
8°C
4%
9°C
1%
10°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 29, 2026, 3:42 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
Dispute window
Final
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
Dispute window
Final
Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a tight race among 5–7°C for Munich's highest temperature today, driven by the latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) ICON model and ECMWF ensemble forecasts projecting a midday peak near 6°C amid persistent overcast skies and light rain showers. Early morning observations at Munich airport recorded 2°C with 91% humidity and southwest winds at 9 km/h, setting a cool baseline; dense cloud cover suppressing solar insolation differentiates outcomes—potential brief breaks could allow warming to 7°C, while afternoon precipitation favors 5°C or below. Gusts up to 38 km/h add mixing, capping extremes, with real-time DWD station data through late afternoon providing resolution clarity amid typical short-range forecast uncertainty.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions