Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the tight ensemble spread in latest Korea Meteorological Administration medium-range guidance and global models like ECMWF and GFS, projecting Seoul's April 6 maximum temperature between 12–16°C amid uncertainty over cold air advection from a lingering frontal boundary. Current rainy conditions with feels-like temperatures near 12°C signal persistent cloud cover and light southerly winds suppressing highs, following recent above-seasonal warmth now cooling per KMA updates. Differentiating factors include model variances in frontal timing—earlier clearing favors 15–16°C via diurnal heating, while prolonged overcast supports 12–13°C—against April climatological norms of 17°C daytime peaks. Overnight model refreshes will refine probabilities before official Incheon station resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Seoul on April 6?
Highest temperature in Seoul on April 6?
13°C 23%
12°C 22%
14°C 21%
15°C 18%
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
1%
9°C
3%
10°C
3%
11°C
10%
12°C
22%
13°C
23%
14°C
21%
15°C
18%
16°C
14%
17°C or higher
3%
13°C 23%
12°C 22%
14°C 21%
15°C 18%
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
1%
9°C
3%
10°C
3%
11°C
10%
12°C
22%
13°C
23%
14°C
21%
15°C
18%
16°C
14%
17°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the tight ensemble spread in latest Korea Meteorological Administration medium-range guidance and global models like ECMWF and GFS, projecting Seoul's April 6 maximum temperature between 12–16°C amid uncertainty over cold air advection from a lingering frontal boundary. Current rainy conditions with feels-like temperatures near 12°C signal persistent cloud cover and light southerly winds suppressing highs, following recent above-seasonal warmth now cooling per KMA updates. Differentiating factors include model variances in frontal timing—earlier clearing favors 15–16°C via diurnal heating, while prolonged overcast supports 12–13°C—against April climatological norms of 17°C daytime peaks. Overnight model refreshes will refine probabilities before official Incheon station resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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