Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 33°C, 34°C, and 32°C as the highest temperature in Panama City on April 5, reflecting inherent short-term forecast uncertainty from global models like GFS and ECMWF, which project afternoon peaks of 91–93°F (33–34°C) under a persistent subtropical ridge promoting subsidence and clear skies early. Differentiating factors include the timing of sea breeze onset, which could introduce convective clouds and cap peaks at 32°C, versus prolonged insolation pushing toward 34°C amid low wind shear and high humidity typical of late dry season transition. Historical data at Tocumen International Airport show April 5 average highs near 32°C, with variability from isolated thunderstorms; hourly observations begin early April 5, potentially shifting odds rapidly.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Panama City on April 5?
Highest temperature in Panama City on April 5?
33°C 30%
32°C 28%
34°C 25%
30°C 19%
NEW
NEW
Apr 5, 2026
27°C or below
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
15%
30°C
19%
31°C
16%
32°C
28%
33°C
30%
34°C
25%
35°C
18%
36°C
7%
37°C or higher
13%
33°C 30%
32°C 28%
34°C 25%
30°C 19%
NEW
NEW
Apr 5, 2026
27°C or below
$75 Vol.
1%
28°C
$103 Vol.
1%
29°C
$2 Vol.
15%
30°C
$2 Vol.
19%
31°C
$2 Vol.
16%
32°C
$2 Vol.
28%
33°C
$2 Vol.
30%
34°C
$2 Vol.
25%
35°C
$2 Vol.
18%
36°C
$2 Vol.
7%
37°C or higher
$7 Vol.
13%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 33°C, 34°C, and 32°C as the highest temperature in Panama City on April 5, reflecting inherent short-term forecast uncertainty from global models like GFS and ECMWF, which project afternoon peaks of 91–93°F (33–34°C) under a persistent subtropical ridge promoting subsidence and clear skies early. Differentiating factors include the timing of sea breeze onset, which could introduce convective clouds and cap peaks at 32°C, versus prolonged insolation pushing toward 34°C amid low wind shear and high humidity typical of late dry season transition. Historical data at Tocumen International Airport show April 5 average highs near 32°C, with variability from isolated thunderstorms; hourly observations begin early April 5, potentially shifting odds rapidly.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 2, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Volume
$202End Date
Apr 5, 2026Market Opened
Apr 2, 2026, 8:57 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 33°C, 34°C, and 32°C as the highest temperature in Panama City on April 5, reflecting inherent short-term forecast uncertainty from global models like GFS and ECMWF, which project afternoon peaks of 91–93°F (33–34°C) under a persistent subtropical ridge promoting subsidence and clear skies early. Differentiating factors include the timing of sea breeze onset, which could introduce convective clouds and cap peaks at 32°C, versus prolonged insolation pushing toward 34°C amid low wind shear and high humidity typical of late dry season transition. Historical data at Tocumen International Airport show April 5 average highs near 32°C, with variability from isolated thunderstorms; hourly observations begin early April 5, potentially shifting odds rapidly.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$202End Date
Apr 5, 2026Market Opened
Apr 2, 2026, 8:57 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 33°C, 34°C, and 32°C as the highest temperature in Panama City on April 5, reflecting inherent short-term forecast uncertainty from global models like GFS and ECMWF, which project afternoon peaks of 91–93°F (33–34°C) under a persistent subtropical ridge promoting subsidence and clear skies early. Differentiating factors include the timing of sea breeze onset, which could introduce convective clouds and cap peaks at 32°C, versus prolonged insolation pushing toward 34°C amid low wind shear and high humidity typical of late dry season transition. Historical data at Tocumen International Airport show April 5 average highs near 32°C, with variability from isolated thunderstorms; hourly observations begin early April 5, potentially shifting odds rapidly.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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