India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts clear skies over Lucknow on April 3 with maximum temperatures around 38°C, yet trader consensus clusters tightly at 36°C (28.5% implied probability) and 37°C (24.5%), reflecting recent observations dipping to 34°C on prior days and near-normal early April climatology averaging 36°C highs. This spread underscores short-term uncertainty from variable solar heating under clear conditions, potential haze moderation, and slight departures from normal (-0.1°C on April 1 at 36.3°C). Historical data shows early-month peaks rising gradually toward 39–40°C later, but current model guidance and April 2 actuals will sharpen resolution before official measurement at Lucknow's Amausi station. Watch IMD's evening update for refinements.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Lucknow on April 3?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on April 3?
37°C 27%
36°C 25%
35°C 22%
34°C or below 18%
$10,903 Vol.
$10,903 Vol.
Apr 3, 2026
34°C or below
18%
35°C
22%
36°C
25%
37°C
27%
38°C
12%
39°C
4%
40°C
1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C or higher
<1%
37°C 27%
36°C 25%
35°C 22%
34°C or below 18%
$10,903 Vol.
$10,903 Vol.
Apr 3, 2026
34°C or below
$1,770 Vol.
18%
35°C
$894 Vol.
22%
36°C
$1,120 Vol.
25%
37°C
$1,485 Vol.
27%
38°C
$720 Vol.
12%
39°C
$1,022 Vol.
4%
40°C
$445 Vol.
1%
41°C
$722 Vol.
<1%
42°C
$1,008 Vol.
<1%
43°C
$879 Vol.
<1%
44°C or higher
$839 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts clear skies over Lucknow on April 3 with maximum temperatures around 38°C, yet trader consensus clusters tightly at 36°C (28.5% implied probability) and 37°C (24.5%), reflecting recent observations dipping to 34°C on prior days and near-normal early April climatology averaging 36°C highs. This spread underscores short-term uncertainty from variable solar heating under clear conditions, potential haze moderation, and slight departures from normal (-0.1°C on April 1 at 36.3°C). Historical data shows early-month peaks rising gradually toward 39–40°C later, but current model guidance and April 2 actuals will sharpen resolution before official measurement at Lucknow's Amausi station. Watch IMD's evening update for refinements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 29, 2026, 3:15 PM ET
Volume
$10,903End Date
Apr 3, 2026Market Opened
Mar 29, 2026, 3:15 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts clear skies over Lucknow on April 3 with maximum temperatures around 38°C, yet trader consensus clusters tightly at 36°C (28.5% implied probability) and 37°C (24.5%), reflecting recent observations dipping to 34°C on prior days and near-normal early April climatology averaging 36°C highs. This spread underscores short-term uncertainty from variable solar heating under clear conditions, potential haze moderation, and slight departures from normal (-0.1°C on April 1 at 36.3°C). Historical data shows early-month peaks rising gradually toward 39–40°C later, but current model guidance and April 2 actuals will sharpen resolution before official measurement at Lucknow's Amausi station. Watch IMD's evening update for refinements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$10,903End Date
Apr 3, 2026Market Opened
Mar 29, 2026, 3:15 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts clear skies over Lucknow on April 3 with maximum temperatures around 38°C, yet trader consensus clusters tightly at 36°C (28.5% implied probability) and 37°C (24.5%), reflecting recent observations dipping to 34°C on prior days and near-normal early April climatology averaging 36°C highs. This spread underscores short-term uncertainty from variable solar heating under clear conditions, potential haze moderation, and slight departures from normal (-0.1°C on April 1 at 36.3°C). Historical data shows early-month peaks rising gradually toward 39–40°C later, but current model guidance and April 2 actuals will sharpen resolution before official measurement at Lucknow's Amausi station. Watch IMD's evening update for refinements.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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