Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering in GFS and ECMWF model ensembles projecting Los Angeles highs of 68-77°F on April 5 at LAX, favoring 74-77°F outcomes amid a 5-10°F spread that underscores inherent forecast uncertainty from evolving upper-level ridge strength and coastal marine layer persistence. Recent showers through April 2 cleared under building high pressure over the West Coast, spurring significant warming from cooler early-month norms (historical April LAX average ~73°F), yet offshore flow risks night/morning stratus limiting peak heat. National Weather Service guidance leans warmer near 80°F, but ensemble means temper expectations; watch 12Z model updates Saturday for shifts ahead of resolution using finalized KLAX data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Los Angeles on April 5?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on April 5?
76-77°F 23%
74-75°F 22%
72-73°F 18%
78-79°F 13%
$12,081 Vol.
$12,081 Vol.
67°F or below
2%
68-69°F
3%
70-71°F
8%
72-73°F
18%
74-75°F
22%
76-77°F
23%
78-79°F
13%
80-81°F
8%
82-83°F
3%
84-85°F
1%
86°F or higher
1%
76-77°F 23%
74-75°F 22%
72-73°F 18%
78-79°F 13%
$12,081 Vol.
$12,081 Vol.
67°F or below
2%
68-69°F
3%
70-71°F
8%
72-73°F
18%
74-75°F
22%
76-77°F
23%
78-79°F
13%
80-81°F
8%
82-83°F
3%
84-85°F
1%
86°F or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 1, 2026, 6:09 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering in GFS and ECMWF model ensembles projecting Los Angeles highs of 68-77°F on April 5 at LAX, favoring 74-77°F outcomes amid a 5-10°F spread that underscores inherent forecast uncertainty from evolving upper-level ridge strength and coastal marine layer persistence. Recent showers through April 2 cleared under building high pressure over the West Coast, spurring significant warming from cooler early-month norms (historical April LAX average ~73°F), yet offshore flow risks night/morning stratus limiting peak heat. National Weather Service guidance leans warmer near 80°F, but ensemble means temper expectations; watch 12Z model updates Saturday for shifts ahead of resolution using finalized KLAX data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions