Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in Jakarta's highest temperature on April 8, with 32°C leading at 27.5% implied probability amid closely matched outcomes from 31–34°C, driven by BMKG's April 4 forecast update projecting light rain and high cloud cover (72–99% humidity) across DKI Jakarta, capping ranges at 24–30°C in central and southern areas. Persistent afternoon showers could limit peak solar insolation and convective heating, favoring sub-33°C highs, while brief cloud breaks or delayed sea breezes—common in transitional dry season onset—might enable urban heat island amplification to 33–34°C, per historical April averages around 32°C. Ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF show model spread of 1–2°C; watch BMKG's daily advisories for refined guidance ahead of resolution at official stations like Halim Perdanakusuma.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Jakarta on April 8?
Highest temperature in Jakarta on April 8?
33°C 26%
32°C 26%
31°C 22%
34°C 20%
NEW
NEW
Apr 8, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
8%
31°C
21%
32°C
26%
33°C
21%
34°C
26%
35°C
9%
36°C or higher
4%
33°C 26%
32°C 26%
31°C 22%
34°C 20%
NEW
NEW
Apr 8, 2026
26°C or below
$987 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$462 Vol.
1%
28°C
$640 Vol.
1%
29°C
$110 Vol.
3%
30°C
$24 Vol.
8%
31°C
$29 Vol.
21%
32°C
$93 Vol.
26%
33°C
$34 Vol.
21%
34°C
$25 Vol.
26%
35°C
$47 Vol.
9%
36°C or higher
$175 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in Jakarta's highest temperature on April 8, with 32°C leading at 27.5% implied probability amid closely matched outcomes from 31–34°C, driven by BMKG's April 4 forecast update projecting light rain and high cloud cover (72–99% humidity) across DKI Jakarta, capping ranges at 24–30°C in central and southern areas. Persistent afternoon showers could limit peak solar insolation and convective heating, favoring sub-33°C highs, while brief cloud breaks or delayed sea breezes—common in transitional dry season onset—might enable urban heat island amplification to 33–34°C, per historical April averages around 32°C. Ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF show model spread of 1–2°C; watch BMKG's daily advisories for refined guidance ahead of resolution at official stations like Halim Perdanakusuma.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 2, 2026, 10:02 PM ET
Volume
$2,625End Date
Apr 8, 2026Market Opened
Apr 2, 2026, 10:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in Jakarta's highest temperature on April 8, with 32°C leading at 27.5% implied probability amid closely matched outcomes from 31–34°C, driven by BMKG's April 4 forecast update projecting light rain and high cloud cover (72–99% humidity) across DKI Jakarta, capping ranges at 24–30°C in central and southern areas. Persistent afternoon showers could limit peak solar insolation and convective heating, favoring sub-33°C highs, while brief cloud breaks or delayed sea breezes—common in transitional dry season onset—might enable urban heat island amplification to 33–34°C, per historical April averages around 32°C. Ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF show model spread of 1–2°C; watch BMKG's daily advisories for refined guidance ahead of resolution at official stations like Halim Perdanakusuma.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$2,625End Date
Apr 8, 2026Market Opened
Apr 2, 2026, 10:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in Jakarta's highest temperature on April 8, with 32°C leading at 27.5% implied probability amid closely matched outcomes from 31–34°C, driven by BMKG's April 4 forecast update projecting light rain and high cloud cover (72–99% humidity) across DKI Jakarta, capping ranges at 24–30°C in central and southern areas. Persistent afternoon showers could limit peak solar insolation and convective heating, favoring sub-33°C highs, while brief cloud breaks or delayed sea breezes—common in transitional dry season onset—might enable urban heat island amplification to 33–34°C, per historical April averages around 32°C. Ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF show model spread of 1–2°C; watch BMKG's daily advisories for refined guidance ahead of resolution at official stations like Halim Perdanakusuma.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions