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Highest temperature in Istanbul on March 30?

Market icon

Highest temperature in Istanbul on March 30?

Mar 30

Mar 31

Apr 1

Apr 2

Mar 30

Mar 31

Apr 1

Apr 2

11°C 54%

10°C 30%

12°C 18%

13°C 6%

Polymarket
NEW

11°C 54%

10°C 30%

12°C 18%

13°C 6%

Polymarket
NEW

6°C

$1,116 Vol.

<1%

7°C

$2,994 Vol.

<1%

8°C

$431 Vol.

<1%

9°C

$2,284 Vol.

<1%

10°C

$235 Vol.

35%

11°C

$213 Vol.

54%

12°C

$100 Vol.

18%

13°C

$77 Vol.

6%

14°C or higher

$240 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Turkish State Meteorological Service forecasts a maximum temperature of 11°C in Istanbul today, anchoring trader sentiment with 37% implied probability there, closely trailed by 10°C at 39% amid cloudy skies and light rain suppressing peak heating. Morning observations at 07:40 local time report 8.3°C, 100% humidity, and 36 km/h winds, consistent with a cool air mass over western Turkey below seasonal norms of 12–13°C. ECMWF and GFS model ensembles show spread around 10–12°C due to variable cloud cover and frontal moisture, heightening uncertainty as afternoon observations from official stations could tip outcomes; check MGM updates hourly for resolution shifts.

Turkish State Meteorological Service forecasts a maximum temperature of 11°C in Istanbul today, anchoring trader sentiment with 37% implied probability there, closely trailed by 10°C at 39% amid cloudy skies and light rain suppressing peak heating. Morning observations at 07:40 local time report 8.3°C, 100% humidity, and 36 km/h winds, consistent with a cool air mass over western Turkey below seasonal norms of 12–13°C. ECMWF and GFS model ensembles show spread around 10–12°C due to variable cloud cover and frontal moisture, heightening uncertainty as afternoon observations from official stations could tip outcomes; check MGM updates hourly for resolution shifts.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Turkish State Meteorological Service forecasts a maximum temperature of 11°C in Istanbul today, anchoring trader sentiment with 37% implied probability there, closely trailed by 10°C at 39% amid cloudy skies and light rain suppressing peak heating. Morning observations at 07:40 local time report 8.3°C, 100% humidity, and 36 km/h winds, consistent with a cool air mass over western Turkey below seasonal norms of 12–13°C. ECMWF and GFS model ensembles show spread around 10–12°C due to variable cloud cover and frontal moisture, heightening uncertainty as afternoon observations from official stations could tip outcomes; check MGM updates hourly for resolution shifts.

Turkish State Meteorological Service forecasts a maximum temperature of 11°C in Istanbul today, anchoring trader sentiment with 37% implied probability there, closely trailed by 10°C at 39% amid cloudy skies and light rain suppressing peak heating. Morning observations at 07:40 local time report 8.3°C, 100% humidity, and 36 km/h winds, consistent with a cool air mass over western Turkey below seasonal norms of 12–13°C. ECMWF and GFS model ensembles show spread around 10–12°C due to variable cloud cover and frontal moisture, heightening uncertainty as afternoon observations from official stations could tip outcomes; check MGM updates hourly for resolution shifts.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Highest temperature in Istanbul on March 30?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "11°C" at 54%, followed by "10°C" at 35%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 54¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 54% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Highest temperature in Istanbul on March 30?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Mar 29, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Highest temperature in Istanbul on March 30?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Highest temperature in Istanbul on March 30?" is "11°C" at 54%, meaning the market assigns a 54% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "10°C" at 35%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Highest temperature in Istanbul on March 30?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.