Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in Buenos Aires' highest temperature on April 7, with closely matched implied probabilities around 18–21°C driven by a recent cold front ushering southerly winds of 35–74 km/h, advecting cooler South Atlantic air and fostering extensive cloud cover with 90% precipitation odds and up to 29 mm of showers. Meteored forecasts, aligned with Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance, project a daytime high near 22°C, but GFS and ECMWF ensemble spreads of 16–24°C highlight model disagreements on frontal intensity, cloud persistence suppressing solar heating, and storm timing—key differentiators between outcomes. Typical autumn highs average 21–22°C historically; watch daily SMN updates and new model runs for shifts ahead of resolution at Ministro Pistarini International Airport station.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 7?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 7?
21°C 21%
20°C 17%
22°C 16%
19°C 15%
NEW
NEW
Apr 7, 2026
15°C or below
1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
5%
18°C
18%
19°C
20%
20°C
17%
21°C
21%
22°C
16%
23°C
16%
24°C
7%
25°C or higher
3%
21°C 21%
20°C 17%
22°C 16%
19°C 15%
NEW
NEW
Apr 7, 2026
15°C or below
$383 Vol.
1%
16°C
$846 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$217 Vol.
5%
18°C
$181 Vol.
18%
19°C
$90 Vol.
20%
20°C
$47 Vol.
17%
21°C
$78 Vol.
21%
22°C
$163 Vol.
16%
23°C
$138 Vol.
16%
24°C
$112 Vol.
7%
25°C or higher
$411 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in Buenos Aires' highest temperature on April 7, with closely matched implied probabilities around 18–21°C driven by a recent cold front ushering southerly winds of 35–74 km/h, advecting cooler South Atlantic air and fostering extensive cloud cover with 90% precipitation odds and up to 29 mm of showers. Meteored forecasts, aligned with Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance, project a daytime high near 22°C, but GFS and ECMWF ensemble spreads of 16–24°C highlight model disagreements on frontal intensity, cloud persistence suppressing solar heating, and storm timing—key differentiators between outcomes. Typical autumn highs average 21–22°C historically; watch daily SMN updates and new model runs for shifts ahead of resolution at Ministro Pistarini International Airport station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 3, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Volume
$2,666End Date
Apr 7, 2026Market Opened
Apr 3, 2026, 6:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in Buenos Aires' highest temperature on April 7, with closely matched implied probabilities around 18–21°C driven by a recent cold front ushering southerly winds of 35–74 km/h, advecting cooler South Atlantic air and fostering extensive cloud cover with 90% precipitation odds and up to 29 mm of showers. Meteored forecasts, aligned with Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance, project a daytime high near 22°C, but GFS and ECMWF ensemble spreads of 16–24°C highlight model disagreements on frontal intensity, cloud persistence suppressing solar heating, and storm timing—key differentiators between outcomes. Typical autumn highs average 21–22°C historically; watch daily SMN updates and new model runs for shifts ahead of resolution at Ministro Pistarini International Airport station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$2,666End Date
Apr 7, 2026Market Opened
Apr 3, 2026, 6:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in Buenos Aires' highest temperature on April 7, with closely matched implied probabilities around 18–21°C driven by a recent cold front ushering southerly winds of 35–74 km/h, advecting cooler South Atlantic air and fostering extensive cloud cover with 90% precipitation odds and up to 29 mm of showers. Meteored forecasts, aligned with Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance, project a daytime high near 22°C, but GFS and ECMWF ensemble spreads of 16–24°C highlight model disagreements on frontal intensity, cloud persistence suppressing solar heating, and storm timing—key differentiators between outcomes. Typical autumn highs average 21–22°C historically; watch daily SMN updates and new model runs for shifts ahead of resolution at Ministro Pistarini International Airport station.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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