Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 14°C as Ankara's highest temperature on March 16, driven by synchronized forecasts from authoritative models like ECMWF and GFS, which project daytime highs peaking at 13-14°C amid persistent cool northerly flows and light cloud cover. Turkish State Meteorological Service data aligns, showing typical mid-March anomalies rarely exceeding 2°C above climatological norms of 12-13°C, reinforced by recent soundings indicating stable atmospheric conditions. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen southerly wind shift or solar heating surge under clear skies, potentially pushing to 15-16°C, though ensemble probabilities assign under 1% odds to such outliers based on model spread and historical verification rates exceeding 90% for short-range temperature forecasts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Ankara on March 16?
Highest temperature in Ankara on March 16?
14°C 100.0%
6°C or below <1%
7°C <1%
8°C <1%
$0.00 Vol.
$0.00 Vol.
6°C or below
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
Yes
15°C
No
16°C or higher
No
14°C 100.0%
6°C or below <1%
7°C <1%
8°C <1%
$0.00 Vol.
$0.00 Vol.
6°C or below
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
Yes
15°C
No
16°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 13, 2026, 3:18 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 14°C as Ankara's highest temperature on March 16, driven by synchronized forecasts from authoritative models like ECMWF and GFS, which project daytime highs peaking at 13-14°C amid persistent cool northerly flows and light cloud cover. Turkish State Meteorological Service data aligns, showing typical mid-March anomalies rarely exceeding 2°C above climatological norms of 12-13°C, reinforced by recent soundings indicating stable atmospheric conditions. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen southerly wind shift or solar heating surge under clear skies, potentially pushing to 15-16°C, though ensemble probabilities assign under 1% odds to such outliers based on model spread and historical verification rates exceeding 90% for short-range temperature forecasts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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