Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 43.5% implied probability to a 16°C high in Ankara today, reflecting latest forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) and global models like ECMWF and GFS, which project peak temperatures near 16°C at Esenboğa International Airport under partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds. Early morning observations logged 6-7°C amid mist, setting up typical diurnal heating for early April in Ankara's continental climate, where historical averages hover around 14-16°C. Recent overnight model runs trimmed upside potential from prior 17°C guidance due to increased cloud cover risks, boosting 15°C to 26.5% while capping 17°C or higher at 18%. Hourly MGM updates through afternoon will refine the outcome amid inherent short-range forecast uncertainty.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Ankara on April 1?
Highest temperature in Ankara on April 1?
16°C 45%
15°C 28%
17°C or higher 21%
14°C 2.8%
$160,563 Vol.
$160,563 Vol.
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
3%
15°C
28%
16°C
45%
17°C or higher
21%
16°C 45%
15°C 28%
17°C or higher 21%
14°C 2.8%
$160,563 Vol.
$160,563 Vol.
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
3%
15°C
28%
16°C
45%
17°C or higher
21%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 28, 2026, 6:14 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 43.5% implied probability to a 16°C high in Ankara today, reflecting latest forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) and global models like ECMWF and GFS, which project peak temperatures near 16°C at Esenboğa International Airport under partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds. Early morning observations logged 6-7°C amid mist, setting up typical diurnal heating for early April in Ankara's continental climate, where historical averages hover around 14-16°C. Recent overnight model runs trimmed upside potential from prior 17°C guidance due to increased cloud cover risks, boosting 15°C to 26.5% while capping 17°C or higher at 18%. Hourly MGM updates through afternoon will refine the outcome amid inherent short-range forecast uncertainty.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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