Latest forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) and global models like ECMWF and GFS project Ankara's highest temperature at Esenboğa International Airport today around 16°C under partly cloudy skies with light winds, driving trader consensus toward 16°C at 44.5% implied probability, followed by 15°C (27.5%) and 17°C or higher (20.5%). This positioning reflects model agreement on moderate solar insolation amid a weak high-pressure ridge, tempered by lingering overnight cloudiness and seasonal April climatology averaging 17°C highs with diurnal ranges of 10–12°C. Recent 12z ECMWF updates slightly cooled prior 17°C projections due to increased mid-level moisture, heightening uncertainty; monitor MGM hourly observations and afternoon soundings for potential shifts as the resolution hinges on official airport measurements through midnight local time.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Ankara on April 1?
Highest temperature in Ankara on April 1?
16°C 46%
15°C 28%
17°C or higher 21%
14°C 3.2%
$165,542 Vol.
$165,542 Vol.
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
3%
15°C
28%
16°C
46%
17°C or higher
21%
16°C 46%
15°C 28%
17°C or higher 21%
14°C 3.2%
$165,542 Vol.
$165,542 Vol.
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
3%
15°C
28%
16°C
46%
17°C or higher
21%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 28, 2026, 6:14 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) and global models like ECMWF and GFS project Ankara's highest temperature at Esenboğa International Airport today around 16°C under partly cloudy skies with light winds, driving trader consensus toward 16°C at 44.5% implied probability, followed by 15°C (27.5%) and 17°C or higher (20.5%). This positioning reflects model agreement on moderate solar insolation amid a weak high-pressure ridge, tempered by lingering overnight cloudiness and seasonal April climatology averaging 17°C highs with diurnal ranges of 10–12°C. Recent 12z ECMWF updates slightly cooled prior 17°C projections due to increased mid-level moisture, heightening uncertainty; monitor MGM hourly observations and afternoon soundings for potential shifts as the resolution hinges on official airport measurements through midnight local time.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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