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Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 1, 2026?

Market icon

Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 1, 2026?

$24,459 Vol.

Jan 12, 2026
Polymarket

$24,459 Vol.

Polymarket

30

$14,287 Vol.

Yes

35

$10,172 Vol.

Yes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported for Week 1 of 2026, is at least as high as the specified number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by January 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for Week 1, 2025 will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported for Week 1 of 2026, is at least as high as the specified number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by January 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for Week 1, 2025 will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
Volume
$24,459
End Date
Jan 12, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 7, 2026, 5:29 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported for Week 1 of 2026, is at least as high as the specified number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by January 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for Week 1, 2025 will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported for Week 1 of 2026, is at least as high as the specified number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by January 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for Week 1, 2025 will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported for Week 1 of 2026, is at least as high as the specified number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by January 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for Week 1, 2025 will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
Volume
$24,459
End Date
Jan 12, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 7, 2026, 5:29 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported for Week 1 of 2026, is at least as high as the specified number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by January 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for Week 1, 2025 will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 1, 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "30" at 100%, followed by "35" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 1, 2026?" has generated $24.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 7, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 1, 2026?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 1, 2026?" is "30" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "35" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 1, 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.