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Eurovision Winner 2026

Market icon

Eurovision Winner 2026

Finland 36.9%

France 12.4%

Denmark 10.5%

Greece 6.8%

Polymarket

$58,336,090 Vol.

Finland 36.9%

France 12.4%

Denmark 10.5%

Greece 6.8%

Polymarket

$58,336,090 Vol.

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Finland

$1,914,955 Vol.

37%

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France

$1,502,046 Vol.

12%

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Denmark

$1,026,422 Vol.

11%

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Greece

$1,394,458 Vol.

7%

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Australia

$1,272,192 Vol.

7%

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Israel

$1,292,215 Vol.

4%

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Sweden

$1,005,992 Vol.

3%

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Ukraine

$1,201,990 Vol.

3%

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Italy

$1,597,656 Vol.

2%

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Romania

$974,464 Vol.

2%

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Czechia

$835,460 Vol.

1%

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Cyprus

$1,167,160 Vol.

1%

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Malta

$1,063,774 Vol.

1%

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Bulgaria

$1,148,554 Vol.

1%

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Lithuania

$1,968,451 Vol.

1%

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Germany

$923,645 Vol.

1%

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Belgium

$1,275,212 Vol.

1%

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Croatia

$1,007,013 Vol.

1%

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Luxembourg

$1,076,649 Vol.

1%

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Moldova

$1,249,361 Vol.

1%

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Norway

$1,501,897 Vol.

1%

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Switzerland

$2,331,763 Vol.

1%

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United Kingdom

$722,509 Vol.

1%

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Albania

$2,383,892 Vol.

<1%

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Austria

$2,477,043 Vol.

<1%

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Estonia

$2,860,402 Vol.

<1%

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Latvia

$2,426,262 Vol.

<1%

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San Marino

$2,672,672 Vol.

<1%

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Armenia

$2,411,737 Vol.

<1%

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Azerbaijan

$2,778,135 Vol.

<1%

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Georgia

$2,515,537 Vol.

<1%

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Montenegro

$3,029,651 Vol.

<1%

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Poland

$2,249,901 Vol.

<1%

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Serbia

$846,830 Vol.

<1%

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Portugal

$2,234,701 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Trader consensus on Polymarket positions Finland as the clear frontrunner at 36.9% implied probability to win Eurovision 2026, driven by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen's "Liekinheitin," which dominated the UMK national final on February 28 with a decisive 570 points split between strong jury scores and massive televote support—echoing the broad appeal of past Finnish hits like "Cha Cha Cha." The rock-classical-dance fusion has fueled early buzz, aligning with bookmakers' 28% odds and positive public reactions. France trails at 12.4% on Monroe's youthful "Regarde!" internal selection, bolstered by Big Five auto-qualification, while Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund ("Før Vi Går Hjem") holds 10.5% after a solid Melodi Grand Prix victory. Yesterday's semifinal running order reveal—Finland in the first semi on May 12—adds qualification risk, with more national finals and rehearsal momentum ahead shaping volatile trader sentiment.

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$58,336,090
End Date
May 16, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Trader consensus on Polymarket positions Finland as the clear frontrunner at 36.9% implied probability to win Eurovision 2026, driven by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen's "Liekinheitin," which dominated the UMK national final on February 28 with a decisive 570 points split between strong jury scores and massive televote support—echoing the broad appeal of past Finnish hits like "Cha Cha Cha." The rock-classical-dance fusion has fueled early buzz, aligning with bookmakers' 28% odds and positive public reactions. France trails at 12.4% on Monroe's youthful "Regarde!" internal selection, bolstered by Big Five auto-qualification, while Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund ("Før Vi Går Hjem") holds 10.5% after a solid Melodi Grand Prix victory. Yesterday's semifinal running order reveal—Finland in the first semi on May 12—adds qualification risk, with more national finals and rehearsal momentum ahead shaping volatile trader sentiment.

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$58,336,090
End Date
May 16, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Related

Market icon

Will Austria come in last place at Eurovision 2026?

22%
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Will Finland be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?

71%
Market icon

Will Finland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

89%

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Eurovision Winner 2026" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 35 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Finland" at 37%, followed by "France" at 12%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 37¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 37% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Eurovision Winner 2026" has generated $58.3 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 6, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Eurovision Winner 2026," browse the 35 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Eurovision Winner 2026" is "Finland" at 37%, meaning the market assigns a 37% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "France" at 12%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Eurovision Winner 2026" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.