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Eurovision Winner 2026

Market icon

Eurovision Winner 2026

Finland 36.8%

France 12.4%

Denmark 10.4%

Greece 6.7%

Polymarket

$58,115,892 Vol.

Finland 36.8%

France 12.4%

Denmark 10.4%

Greece 6.7%

Polymarket

$58,115,892 Vol.

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Finland

$1,914,671 Vol.

37%

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France

$1,499,890 Vol.

12%

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Denmark

$1,025,851 Vol.

10%

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Greece

$1,392,716 Vol.

7%

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Australia

$1,268,600 Vol.

7%

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Israel

$1,288,756 Vol.

4%

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Ukraine

$1,199,207 Vol.

3%

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Sweden

$993,675 Vol.

3%

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Italy

$1,596,095 Vol.

2%

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Romania

$969,122 Vol.

2%

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Czechia

$835,417 Vol.

1%

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Cyprus

$1,165,762 Vol.

1%

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Malta

$1,062,719 Vol.

1%

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Bulgaria

$1,147,089 Vol.

1%

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Germany

$923,265 Vol.

1%

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Lithuania

$1,967,023 Vol.

1%

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Belgium

$1,273,852 Vol.

1%

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Croatia

$1,001,422 Vol.

1%

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Luxembourg

$1,076,649 Vol.

1%

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Moldova

$1,248,701 Vol.

1%

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Norway

$1,495,399 Vol.

1%

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Switzerland

$2,329,632 Vol.

1%

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United Kingdom

$722,509 Vol.

1%

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Albania

$2,371,153 Vol.

<1%

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Austria

$2,459,603 Vol.

<1%

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Estonia

$2,849,043 Vol.

<1%

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Latvia

$2,409,521 Vol.

<1%

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San Marino

$2,654,717 Vol.

<1%

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Armenia

$2,393,933 Vol.

<1%

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Azerbaijan

$2,764,795 Vol.

<1%

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Georgia

$2,501,084 Vol.

<1%

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Montenegro

$3,016,288 Vol.

<1%

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Poland

$2,236,070 Vol.

<1%

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Serbia

$845,108 Vol.

<1%

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Portugal

$2,220,311 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland's "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen leads Polymarket trader consensus at 36.8% implied probability to win Eurovision 2026, propelled by their dominant UMK national final victory in late February, securing both strong jury scores and massive televote energy reminiscent of past Finnish hits like "Cha Cha Cha." This dual appeal has sustained frontrunner status amid released songs and fresh running order announcements for Vienna semis on May 12 and 14. France's Monroe with "Look!" climbs to 12.5% on polished previews and OGAE buzz, while Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund holds 10.5% via model predictions; Greece and Australia trail closely amid competitive Nordic and diaspora voting dynamics. Momentum could shift with pre-party reactions before the grand final.

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$58,115,892
End Date
May 16, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland's "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen leads Polymarket trader consensus at 36.8% implied probability to win Eurovision 2026, propelled by their dominant UMK national final victory in late February, securing both strong jury scores and massive televote energy reminiscent of past Finnish hits like "Cha Cha Cha." This dual appeal has sustained frontrunner status amid released songs and fresh running order announcements for Vienna semis on May 12 and 14. France's Monroe with "Look!" climbs to 12.5% on polished previews and OGAE buzz, while Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund holds 10.5% via model predictions; Greece and Australia trail closely amid competitive Nordic and diaspora voting dynamics. Momentum could shift with pre-party reactions before the grand final.

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$58,115,892
End Date
May 16, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Eurovision Winner 2026" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 35 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Finland" at 37%, followed by "France" at 12%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 37¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 37% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Eurovision Winner 2026" has generated $58.1 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 6, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Eurovision Winner 2026," browse the 35 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Eurovision Winner 2026" is "Finland" at 37%, meaning the market assigns a 37% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "France" at 12%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Eurovision Winner 2026" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.