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Eurovision Winner 2026

Market icon

Eurovision Winner 2026

Finland 36.8%

France 12.4%

Denmark 10.4%

Greece 6.7%

Polymarket

$58,149,034 Vol.

Finland 36.8%

France 12.4%

Denmark 10.4%

Greece 6.7%

Polymarket

$58,149,034 Vol.

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Finland

$1,914,676 Vol.

37%

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France

$1,500,037 Vol.

12%

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Denmark

$1,025,851 Vol.

10%

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Greece

$1,392,955 Vol.

7%

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Australia

$1,268,600 Vol.

7%

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Israel

$1,288,953 Vol.

4%

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Ukraine

$1,199,279 Vol.

3%

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Sweden

$993,814 Vol.

3%

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Italy

$1,596,214 Vol.

2%

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Romania

$969,122 Vol.

2%

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Czechia

$835,417 Vol.

1%

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Cyprus

$1,165,950 Vol.

1%

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Malta

$1,062,785 Vol.

1%

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Bulgaria

$1,147,376 Vol.

1%

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Germany

$923,265 Vol.

1%

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Lithuania

$1,968,037 Vol.

1%

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Belgium

$1,273,852 Vol.

1%

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Croatia

$1,001,422 Vol.

1%

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Luxembourg

$1,076,649 Vol.

1%

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Moldova

$1,248,701 Vol.

1%

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Norway

$1,495,500 Vol.

1%

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Switzerland

$2,329,632 Vol.

1%

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United Kingdom

$722,509 Vol.

1%

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Albania

$2,373,823 Vol.

<1%

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Austria

$2,462,350 Vol.

<1%

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Estonia

$2,851,303 Vol.

<1%

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Latvia

$2,412,574 Vol.

<1%

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San Marino

$2,657,084 Vol.

<1%

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Armenia

$2,397,085 Vol.

<1%

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Azerbaijan

$2,767,320 Vol.

<1%

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Georgia

$2,503,590 Vol.

<1%

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Montenegro

$3,018,946 Vol.

<1%

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Poland

$2,238,665 Vol.

<1%

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Serbia

$845,108 Vol.

<1%

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Portugal

$2,225,311 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen's "Liekinheitin"—a violin-infused rock-dance fusion that dominated UMK with overwhelming jury and televote support on February 28—has solidified trader consensus as the clear frontrunner at 36.8% implied probability, echoed in bookmakers, OGAE fan polls (including France's 12 points), and prediction models like The Model. France's young soprano Monroe with operatic-pop "Regarde!" (announced March 6) holds second at 12.4%, aided by Big Five auto-qualification to the Vienna final. Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund's emotive Danish ballad "Før Vi Går Hjem" (Melodi Grand Prix winner) sits third at 10.4%, while Greece's Akylas "Ferto" and Australia's Delta Goodrem "Eclipse" draw buzz from recent national finals and music videos. With semi-finals looming May 12-14, qualification risks and rehearsals could shift dynamics.

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$58,149,034
End Date
May 16, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen's "Liekinheitin"—a violin-infused rock-dance fusion that dominated UMK with overwhelming jury and televote support on February 28—has solidified trader consensus as the clear frontrunner at 36.8% implied probability, echoed in bookmakers, OGAE fan polls (including France's 12 points), and prediction models like The Model. France's young soprano Monroe with operatic-pop "Regarde!" (announced March 6) holds second at 12.4%, aided by Big Five auto-qualification to the Vienna final. Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund's emotive Danish ballad "Før Vi Går Hjem" (Melodi Grand Prix winner) sits third at 10.4%, while Greece's Akylas "Ferto" and Australia's Delta Goodrem "Eclipse" draw buzz from recent national finals and music videos. With semi-finals looming May 12-14, qualification risks and rehearsals could shift dynamics.

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$58,149,034
End Date
May 16, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Eurovision Winner 2026" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 35 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Finland" at 37%, followed by "France" at 12%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 37¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 37% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Eurovision Winner 2026" has generated $58.1 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 6, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Eurovision Winner 2026," browse the 35 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Eurovision Winner 2026" is "Finland" at 37%, meaning the market assigns a 37% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "France" at 12%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Eurovision Winner 2026" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.