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Eurovision Winner 2026

Market icon

Eurovision Winner 2026

Finland 35.6%

France 13.2%

Denmark 10.1%

Australia 6.8%

Polymarket

$51,838,729 Vol.

Finland 35.6%

France 13.2%

Denmark 10.1%

Australia 6.8%

Polymarket

$51,838,729 Vol.

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Finland

$1,840,461 Vol.

36%

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France

$1,392,140 Vol.

13%

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Denmark

$910,989 Vol.

10%

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Australia

$1,184,893 Vol.

7%

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Greece

$1,294,093 Vol.

7%

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Israel

$1,216,524 Vol.

4%

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Sweden

$930,906 Vol.

4%

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Ukraine

$1,102,972 Vol.

2%

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Italy

$1,502,672 Vol.

2%

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Romania

$881,253 Vol.

2%

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Cyprus

$1,113,077 Vol.

1%

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Malta

$1,005,614 Vol.

1%

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Czechia

$784,536 Vol.

1%

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Bulgaria

$1,106,216 Vol.

1%

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Germany

$882,223 Vol.

1%

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Luxembourg

$1,021,298 Vol.

1%

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Moldova

$1,084,450 Vol.

1%

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Croatia

$938,636 Vol.

1%

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United Kingdom

$715,021 Vol.

1%

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Belgium

$1,232,201 Vol.

1%

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Norway

$1,275,683 Vol.

1%

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Switzerland

$2,211,789 Vol.

1%

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Poland

$1,941,316 Vol.

1%

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Albania

$1,977,331 Vol.

<1%

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Estonia

$2,480,876 Vol.

<1%

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Latvia

$2,057,225 Vol.

<1%

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Portugal

$2,101,558 Vol.

<1%

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San Marino

$2,266,876 Vol.

<1%

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Armenia

$2,045,369 Vol.

<1%

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Azerbaijan

$2,419,673 Vol.

<1%

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Georgia

$2,146,154 Vol.

<1%

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Lithuania

$1,551,468 Vol.

<1%

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Montenegro

$2,648,045 Vol.

<1%

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Serbia

$768,720 Vol.

<1%

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Austria

$1,809,080 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland commands a commanding 35.6% implied probability as the Eurovision 2026 frontrunner after duo Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen's "Liekinheitin" triumphed at Uuden Musiikin Kilpailu (UMK) in late February, captivating with its high-energy staging, jury acclaim, and explosive televote potential that propelled it to the top of early streaming charts and OGAE fan voting. France's Monroe follows at 13.2% on the momentum of "Look!," a polished pop entry from their national selection, while Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund surged to 10.1% with "Før Vi Går Hjem" overtaking France in recent odds shifts amid strong DMGP reception and poll dominance. Australia and Greece trail closely, buoyed by fan buzz, but trader consensus reflects Finland's early campaign edge as all entries solidify ahead of the Vienna semifinals on May 12 and 14, and grand final May 16—where jury-public splits could spark upsets.

Finland commands a commanding 35.6% implied probability as the Eurovision 2026 frontrunner after duo Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen's "Liekinheitin" triumphed at Uuden Musiikin Kilpailu (UMK) in late February, captivating with its high-energy staging, jury acclaim, and explosive televote potential that propelled it to the top of early streaming charts and OGAE fan voting. France's Monroe follows at 13.2% on the momentum of "Look!," a polished pop entry from their national selection, while Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund surged to 10.1% with "Før Vi Går Hjem" overtaking France in recent odds shifts amid strong DMGP reception and poll dominance. Australia and Greece trail closely, buoyed by fan buzz, but trader consensus reflects Finland's early campaign edge as all entries solidify ahead of the Vienna semifinals on May 12 and 14, and grand final May 16—where jury-public splits could spark upsets.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland commands a commanding 35.6% implied probability as the Eurovision 2026 frontrunner after duo Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen's "Liekinheitin" triumphed at Uuden Musiikin Kilpailu (UMK) in late February, captivating with its high-energy staging, jury acclaim, and explosive televote potential that propelled it to the top of early streaming charts and OGAE fan voting. France's Monroe follows at 13.2% on the momentum of "Look!," a polished pop entry from their national selection, while Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund surged to 10.1% with "Før Vi Går Hjem" overtaking France in recent odds shifts amid strong DMGP reception and poll dominance. Australia and Greece trail closely, buoyed by fan buzz, but trader consensus reflects Finland's early campaign edge as all entries solidify ahead of the Vienna semifinals on May 12 and 14, and grand final May 16—where jury-public splits could spark upsets.

Finland commands a commanding 35.6% implied probability as the Eurovision 2026 frontrunner after duo Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen's "Liekinheitin" triumphed at Uuden Musiikin Kilpailu (UMK) in late February, captivating with its high-energy staging, jury acclaim, and explosive televote potential that propelled it to the top of early streaming charts and OGAE fan voting. France's Monroe follows at 13.2% on the momentum of "Look!," a polished pop entry from their national selection, while Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund surged to 10.1% with "Før Vi Går Hjem" overtaking France in recent odds shifts amid strong DMGP reception and poll dominance. Australia and Greece trail closely, buoyed by fan buzz, but trader consensus reflects Finland's early campaign edge as all entries solidify ahead of the Vienna semifinals on May 12 and 14, and grand final May 16—where jury-public splits could spark upsets.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

Related

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20%
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Will Finland be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?

69%
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Will Finland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

89%

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Eurovision Winner 2026" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 35 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Finland" at 36%, followed by "France" at 13%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 36¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 36% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Eurovision Winner 2026" has generated $51.8 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 6, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Eurovision Winner 2026," browse the 35 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Eurovision Winner 2026" is "Finland" at 36%, meaning the market assigns a 36% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "France" at 13%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Eurovision Winner 2026" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.