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Eurovision Winner 2026

Market icon

Eurovision Winner 2026

Finland 36.8%

France 12.6%

Denmark 10.8%

Greece 6.6%

Polymarket

$57,649,584 Vol.

Finland 36.8%

France 12.6%

Denmark 10.8%

Greece 6.6%

Polymarket

$57,649,584 Vol.

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Finland

$1,912,977 Vol.

37%

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France

$1,492,703 Vol.

13%

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Denmark

$1,020,927 Vol.

11%

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Greece

$1,384,848 Vol.

7%

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Australia

$1,249,166 Vol.

6%

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Israel

$1,285,562 Vol.

4%

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Ukraine

$1,196,693 Vol.

3%

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Sweden

$991,741 Vol.

3%

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Italy

$1,593,066 Vol.

2%

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Romania

$968,722 Vol.

2%

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Czechia

$835,285 Vol.

1%

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Cyprus

$1,162,430 Vol.

1%

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Malta

$1,061,657 Vol.

1%

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Bulgaria

$1,142,632 Vol.

1%

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Germany

$922,980 Vol.

1%

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Lithuania

$1,966,728 Vol.

1%

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Belgium

$1,273,804 Vol.

1%

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Croatia

$1,001,418 Vol.

1%

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Luxembourg

$1,076,649 Vol.

1%

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Moldova

$1,247,659 Vol.

1%

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Norway

$1,346,348 Vol.

1%

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Switzerland

$2,328,763 Vol.

1%

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United Kingdom

$722,341 Vol.

1%

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Albania

$2,344,149 Vol.

<1%

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Austria

$2,433,788 Vol.

<1%

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Estonia

$2,820,392 Vol.

<1%

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Latvia

$2,388,237 Vol.

<1%

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San Marino

$2,627,851 Vol.

<1%

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Armenia

$2,370,770 Vol.

<1%

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Azerbaijan

$2,741,839 Vol.

<1%

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Georgia

$2,476,239 Vol.

<1%

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Montenegro

$2,994,182 Vol.

<1%

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Poland

$2,208,877 Vol.

<1%

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Serbia

$845,103 Vol.

<1%

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Portugal

$2,217,093 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland holds a commanding 37% implied probability as the Eurovision 2026 frontrunner on Polymarket, driven by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen's "Liekinheitin," which dominated Finland's UMK national final in late February with strong jury and televote scores, blending violin spectacle and high-energy pop for broad appeal reminiscent of past televote winners. France's Monroe with "Regarde!" has surged to 13% following standout live TV performances and heavy recent wagering, narrowing Finland's lead, while Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund's emotive Danish ballad "Før vi går hjem" sustains 11% via DMGP momentum. Greece's Akylas ("Ferto") and Australia's Delta Goodrem ("Eclipse") hover around 6-7% amid rising fan buzz. Today's semi-final running order reveal in Vienna sets the stage for May's semis on the 12th and 14th, where positioning could shift trader sentiment further in this volatile pre-event market.

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$57,649,584
End Date
May 16, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland holds a commanding 37% implied probability as the Eurovision 2026 frontrunner on Polymarket, driven by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen's "Liekinheitin," which dominated Finland's UMK national final in late February with strong jury and televote scores, blending violin spectacle and high-energy pop for broad appeal reminiscent of past televote winners. France's Monroe with "Regarde!" has surged to 13% following standout live TV performances and heavy recent wagering, narrowing Finland's lead, while Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund's emotive Danish ballad "Før vi går hjem" sustains 11% via DMGP momentum. Greece's Akylas ("Ferto") and Australia's Delta Goodrem ("Eclipse") hover around 6-7% amid rising fan buzz. Today's semi-final running order reveal in Vienna sets the stage for May's semis on the 12th and 14th, where positioning could shift trader sentiment further in this volatile pre-event market.

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$57,649,584
End Date
May 16, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Related

Market icon

Will Austria come in last place at Eurovision 2026?

22%
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Will Finland be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?

71%
Market icon

Will Finland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

89%

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Eurovision Winner 2026" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 35 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Finland" at 37%, followed by "France" at 13%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 37¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 37% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Eurovision Winner 2026" has generated $57.6 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 6, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Eurovision Winner 2026," browse the 35 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Eurovision Winner 2026" is "Finland" at 37%, meaning the market assigns a 37% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "France" at 13%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Eurovision Winner 2026" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.